Washington-Sana
The Oxford Economics think-tank predicted that US President Donald Trump would face an overwhelming defeat in the November presidential elections.
In its analysis, the foundation set an electoral model that uses unemployment, disposable income, and inflation to predict the election results. According to that model, Trump will lose and be crushed, as he is expected to receive only 35 percent of the vote.
Before the outbreak of the new Corona virus in the United States, Oxford Economics expected Trump to win about 55 percent of the vote, but now she believes that it takes an economic miracle in favor of Trump if he wants to win, considering that the economy will be a big obstacle for him and that the downturn that The United States suffers from it due to the bad economic situation that will continue until the next elections.
The Oxford Economics electoral model had correctly predicted results in all elections since 1948 except for the elections in 1968 and 1976, meaning a winner in 16 of the last 18 elections.