Prime Minister Dreyer wants to continue.
Will it be enough for a traffic light coalition again after the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate?
The live ticker to choose from.
On Sunday, the polling stations in Rhineland-Palatinate are open from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. - the voters determine a new state parliament.
Prime Minister Malu Dreyer
(SPD) is standing for re-election, but their challenger Christian Baldauf (CDU) is also fighting for a place in the Mainz State Chancellery.
Rhineland-Palatinate is currently led by a traffic light coalition.
Mainz - These are the first elections of the super election year 2021 and the first state elections of the corona pandemic: On Sunday, those eligible to vote in Rhineland-Palatinate are called to elect a new representative in politics.
In the election, 101 seats are to be allocated in the Mainz state parliament.
Twelve parties and an electoral association compete.
The top duel is between Prime Minister Malu Dreyer (SPD) and her challenger Christian Baldauf (CDU)
carried out.
After 30 years of government in the SPD, the CDU finally wants to move back into the state chancellery.
According to the polls, it could be an exciting race.
The SPD last came to values between 30 and 33 percent, the CDU landed at 29 to 31 percent.
There are many indications that the current traffic light coalition made up of the SPD,
The FDP and the Greens could go on, at least the SPD was very open to this.
Baldauf from the CDU did not commit to a desired alliance.
was standing |
source |
Date / time |
SPD |
CDU |
AfD |
FDP |
Green |
left |
Other party |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
survey |
ZDF |
March 11, 2021 |
33 |
29 |
9 |
6.5 |
10 |
3 |
9.5 |
Due to the corona pandemic, significantly more people than usual already cast their votes by postal vote
instead of going to the polling station.
As announced by the regional election management, had
By Wednesday morning around 44 percent of all eligible voters had already applied for postal votes.
Assuming a voter turnout of 70 percent, that would correspond to a postal voter share of a good 63 percent.
In the state elections in 2016, it was almost 31 percent.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: five parties are currently represented in parliament
As at the federal level, the representatives are elected according to the personalized proportional representation.
The voters therefore have two votes, the constituency and the state vote.
With the first vote, the direct candidate of the constituency is determined - the winner is whoever receives the most votes in the constituency.
With the second vote, one of the approved state or district lists is chosen - in the end, a ratio of the voting shares is obtained.
The five percent hurdle is important here: lists below five percent are not taken into account when allocating mandates.
And: If a party has won direct mandates, these will be offset against the mandates obtained to which they are entitled based on the second share of the vote.
The result of the state elections 2016 at a glance:
SPD:
36.2 percent
CDU:
31.8 percent
AfD:
12.6 percent
FDP:
6.2 percent
Greens:
5.3 percent
Left:
2.8 percent
Other party:
4.9 percent
At that time, the SPD was able to grow slightly compared to the 2011 election, but the CDU lost a total of 3.4 percentage points.
The Greens lost even harder: over ten percentage points.
This time they want to make significant gains again, but in surveys in Rhineland-Palatinate they do worse than the national trend.
The constituencies won the CDU or SPD in 2016.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate live: will the free voters make it?
- Choice is also important for Laschet
It could be exciting on election evening for the Free Voters.
Most recently, depending on the survey, they achieved between 3 and 5 percent.
Moving in is therefore not ruled out, which could result in a new party joining the state parliament.
Top candidate Joachim Streit can therefore dream of a possible record result.
The left, on the other hand, are currently mostly seen at around 3 percent.
+
Christian Baldauf, CDU top candidate in the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
© Political Moments / Imago
The Bundestag and Landtag elections are two pairs of shoes, but the federal parties will look closely at the election in Rhineland-Palatinate and also at the election taking place in Baden-Württemberg at the same time.
Christian Baldauf from the CDU is currently fighting particularly against the anger against Union politicians in the Bundestag who are connected to the mask affair or other allegations.
That doesn't give him a tailwind, he noticed that himself.
And the elections will also be important for CDU boss Armin Laschet: Although he does not run directly anywhere, the results of Sunday will play a role in view of the open question of the candidate for chancellor in the Union.
Dreyer more popular than Baldauf - the results of the state elections in RLP are likely to be tight
Prime Minister Dreyer can look forward to good popularity ratings.
In a direct comparison with her opponent Baldauf, she scores significantly better as the preferred candidate with an accepted direct election.
Dreyer had the advantage in the Corona election campaign of appearing frequently in the media due to her office.
For example, because she was always present at the summit meetings of the country leaders with Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU).
The polling stations in Rhineland-Palatinate close at 6 p.m. on Sunday.
Then the forecast from the polls on election day is expected before projections follow in the evening until the final result is certain.
You can read all the important developments in this ticker.
(cibo)