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Valérie Pécresse's breakthrough in the polls offers LR, at the very least, a reprieve.
The candidate benefits from the blast effect linked to her victory at the congress of her party as well as a useful voting dynamic against Emmanuel Macron.
Her status as enarch and regional president also gives her an image of seriousness and credibility.
Is this enough to win over the long term?
Nothing is less sure.
At the end of 2016 and the beginning of 2017, François Fillon and Benoît Hamon had also benefited from a "primary effect".
The socialist candidate immediately reached 18 to 19%, and the candidate nominated by the right-wing primary exceeded the 30% mark, recalls essayist David Desgouilles.
We know the rest.
Moreover, as the academic Benjamin Morel notes, the presidential election is also won on "a lyrical breath" and "some key ideas".
Regarding security and identity issues, priorities for the right-wing electorate, Valérie Pécresse will be able to count ...
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