Jérôme Fourquet is director of the Opinion department of Ifop and author, with Jean-Laurent Cassely, of
La France sous nos
vies
(Seuil).
Interview by Alexandre Devecchio.
Which line should Valérie Pécresse choose against Emmanuel Macron, but also Éric Zemmour and Marine Le Pen?
The situation of Republicans is delicate because they are victims of a long-term hemorrhage, which has seen a growing number of their voters leave them.
It started in the 2017 presidential election, when François Fillon only obtained 20% of the vote against 27% for Nicolas Sarkozy in 2012. Already at the time, a double centrifugal movement had weakened them.
François Fillon had retained only 60% of the Sarkozyst voters of 2012;
17% had opted for Emmanuel Macron (in the wake of the Juppeist executives) and almost the same proportion (14%) had voted for Marine Le Pen (plus 4% left for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan).
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Although reduced at the end of this first skimming, the electoral base ...
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