On the fourth day of the nomination period for the chief executive election, the Chief Secretary for Administration, Li Jiachao, resigned yesterday (6th) afternoon and took immediate leave. He was preparing to participate in the chief executive election. model".
Under the current electoral laws, one person can still be elected without the support of 751 electoral committees. However, in the absence of competitors, the candidate quiz will inevitably become a "one-legged show" for Li Jiachao. In the past, candidates for the chief executive election faced each other. will be gone.
Liu Zhaojia, vice-chairman of the National Association for Hong Kong and Macau Studies, pointed out that the pattern of "patriots ruling Hong Kong" has been newly established, and the unity within the patriotic camp is still not enough. Under the complex and ever-changing internal and external situations, it is necessary to strictly prevent hostile forces from taking the opportunity to cause trouble and sow discord. Therefore, the "Macau model" is a more prudent approach.
▼In the past three chief executive elections, there were people competing for candidates and the forum sparked ▼
+1
The past three electoral forums full of gunpowder flavors have been full of punchlines
The democrats learned from the experience of Tung Chee-hwa who was automatically re-elected without competition in 2002, and Tsang Yam-kuen who was automatically re-elected in the by-election in 2005, and actively attacked the election committee elections starting in 2006 and crossed the nomination threshold. Therefore, in 2007, 2012, and 2017 The three-term chief executive elections have all nominated candidates from the pro-democracy faction.
Among them, in the 2007 chief executive election, an unprecedented live televised debate was held. Tsang Yam-kuen and Leung Ka-kit confronted each other with sparks. Although they had no substantial impact on the final result, they undeniably improved the atmosphere of the election campaign and attracted the attention of the public in Hong Kong.
In 2012, Tang Yingnian publicly criticized Leung Chun-ying for "you are a man" (Leung Chun-ying denies that he would deploy tear gas and riot squads to deal with protesters who oppose Article 23 legislation); 2017 Chief Executive Election Tsang Chun-wah criticized Carrie Lam's "three lows" (low popularity, low energy) , low recognition), Lam Cheng publicly stated that if mainstream public opinion thinks that she is not suitable to be the chief executive, she will resign, which are all "classic golden sentences" on the election forum.
Under the new electoral system, candidates must obtain at least 15 nomination votes from five sectors, with a total of no less than 188 votes in order to be admitted.
The fifth sector is equivalent to the "national team", and the democratic faction in the Election Committee has basically been "removed". Therefore, the first step of this year's chief executive election has been controlled by the central government, and no one has the ability to "rush through the lights." "Become a candidate.
If Li Jiachao is really the only one to run for the election of the chief executive this year, it is almost certain that the above-mentioned sparks will never happen again.
Although under the current regulations, even if only one person can stand for election, he still needs to go through a ballot to be elected, but it is believed that the election will be held under a "wind of harmony".
Liu Zhaojia.
(file picture)
Liu Zhaojia: One person can still hold a large-scale election campaign
Liu Zhaojia pointed out that "one-person election" may not be the norm under the new electoral system, and it cannot be ruled out that there will still be competition in future elections.
However, this is the early stage of the establishment of "patriots ruling Hong Kong", and the internal unity of the patriotic camp has yet to be established. In addition, the internal and external hostile forces are only in a "dormant state" after the National Security Law was enacted. It is not ruled out that they can create troubles through other channels. Trying to sway the election, spreading information that is not conducive to the successful completion of the election, and sowing the relationship between the central government and the SAR, as well as between different candidates.
Therefore, in this case, Liu Zhaojia believes that in the complex and sinister international situation, the central government naturally does not want vicious competition and division of the patriotic camp, which is not conducive to the future governance of the Hong Kong government. People can accept it. The central government needs to measure the internal and external environment and find the most suitable person to implement the policy for the next few years. There may only be one person who is suitable.” He also believes that even if there is only one candidate, it is still possible to carry out large-scale campaign work, but under the epidemic situation Inevitably some activities will be restricted.
Lee Ka-chao has resigned as Chief Secretary for Administration and is preparing to run for Chief Executive.
(Photo by Luo Junhao)
Cai Ziqiang: Competitive candidates are more motivated to improve their political platform
Cai Ziqiang, a senior lecturer in the Department of Politics and Administration at CUHK, said that from the perspective of the general public, even if there is no vote, they would certainly hope that the election will be contested. Debates can be used to understand the political platforms and abilities of the candidates. To obtain "blessings", one must actively seek support from the election committee and make more promises.
Candidates should also spend their time preparing for debates and public speeches, and introducing new political platforms to win the support of the public. For example, in the last term, Carrie Lam knew that the popularity of Mr. Tsang was behind Tsang. .
He pointed out, "Just like why many politicians have a 'honeymoon period' with relatively high popularity after they are elected, it is because of a period of intensive electoral engineering, candidates can win the support of the public through interaction, not just one-way speeches." If there is only one candidate in the final election, and this year's election will only take one month from the preparation of the real candidate to the official election day, many election projects will have to be "compressed".
However, Cai Ziqiang believes that in the current political environment, public opinion is not Beijing's primary consideration, and the most important thing is to prevent the establishment of the establishment from torn apart, "Past elections have caused many internal divisions within the establishment, the most typical example being the 2012 Tang and Liang mutual disclosure scandal, It evolved into a malicious attack, and it can even be said that it was the most "ugly" chief executive election in history, and I believe Beijing is most afraid of such things happening again."
Cai Ziqiang.
(file picture)
Li Jiachao resigns | Who will take over as Chief Secretary for Administration?
The government did not mention the acting political circle to analyze the three possible chief executive elections｜Li Jiachao: If his resignation is approved by the central government, he will run for the chief executive election. Thank you to Carrie Lam and the public chief executive election.
