History is not over What does persistent global uncertainty mean?

On July 7, Prime Minister Boris Johnson resigned after the resignation of senior British government officials.

The process is dramatic.

The government failed to function, and the authority collapsed.

The British political farce has further stimulated the global nerves by the chaos in Europe.

On July 8, two shots were fired on the streets of Nara, and former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was unfortunately killed.

The most important political figure in post-war Japan, ending in such a tragic way, will also have a profound impact on Japan's political situation and even the entire situation in Northeast Asia.

On July 8, in the face of the Supreme Court's increasingly conservative tendencies, Biden began to "declare war."

Biden accused the Supreme Court of being "sloppy" and "not seeking truth from facts." "What we are witnessing today is not a constitutional judgment, but a purely political show of power... We cannot tolerate a Supreme Court that has gotten out of control." , so that the American media also interpreted: This is almost a declaration of war against the Supreme Court.

Of course, there are even more incredible things - on July 9, Sri Lanka, which has declared "national bankruptcy", a large number of demonstrators shouted and finally rushed into the presidential residence.

Both the president and the prime minister have agreed to resign, but no one knows where the country is going.

That’s not even counting, the war is still going on in Ukraine, Finland and Sweden have joined NATO, NATO is getting closer and closer to Russia, and European geopolitics is undergoing drastic changes…

In the past week, we have seen the so-called democratic benchmark collapse, the tragic end of a political strongman, the political chaos in the United States, the brutal fire of war, and the anger of the people... These are all Every section of the great changes unseen in a century.

Great Britain is not what it used to be

We must clearly recognize that Britain is no longer what it was.

A country that prides itself on being a gentleman, the prime minister who was finally elected has such a messed-up reputation: abusing public funds, using unknown people, and promiscuous lying... Britain, the once most powerful empire on which the sun never sets, considers itself "the world". Mother of Democracy," but in such a dramatic way finally brought down one of the least image-conscious leaders.

The leaders of the great powers have betrayed their relatives and separated from each other, how desolate.

British Prime Minister Johnson is known as the British version of Trump.

Controversy continued, and he was eventually forced to resign.

(AP)

After Johnson's fall, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev taunted: "Ukraine's best friend is leaving. 'Victory' is at risk! This is the inevitable result of Britain's unreasonable and incompetent policies, especially in international affairs. ".

Johnson's ouster is just a microcosm of the political chaos in the UK.

At present, the UK is still facing the largest strike in more than 30 years. This mighty strike has brought a certain degree of shutdown to British society.

At the same time, the Scottish independence referendum, which may be held next year, will once again challenge the sovereignty of the United Kingdom. Even Northern Ireland, which was originally established for Protestants, has also become unstable due to the issue of Brexit border checks.

At the moment in the British central government, after almost all the main officials have resigned, Johnson can only reluctantly lead the transitional cabinet. This farce cannot see an end in the short term.

America is no longer America

And the same chaos happened with the British "Big Brother".

The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled to limit the U.S. federal government's power to cut greenhouse gas emissions from power plants after it overturned the Roe v. Wade case last time.

The decision of the US Supreme Court is of course a major blow to Biden.

He has said publicly that the Supreme Court's decision was a devastating mistake.

He criticized conservative justices for putting ideology above U.S. interests and ignoring the government's long-standing efforts to control climate change in order to achieve the interests of small circles.

In the previous "Roe v. Wade case", Biden also angrily denounced the Supreme Court for making a "tragic mistake" that set the United States back 150 years.

The constraints of the Biden administration are the full manifestation of Trump's legacy.

Compared with economic, social, political and other fields, the appointment of federal judges by Trump and the Federal Senate in the past four years has become the biggest legacy of the "Trump era".

The U.S. judicial system has been adjusted to a pro-conservative line, completely changing the ecology of the Supreme Court and disrupting the political balance of the United States, and its influence will last for many years.

A Supreme Court dominated by conservatives is likely to intensify racial conflicts and clashes of civilizations in the United States.

In early July, more than 1 million people signed a petition calling for Congress to impeach conservative Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas.

The American people's petition to impeach a conservative justice reflects the public's dissatisfaction with the Supreme Court's increasingly reduced role as a partisan tool.

Affected by political polarization, the U.S. Supreme Court and even the entire judiciary have become a battleground for partisanship.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump may announce his candidacy for the 2024 U.S. presidential race ahead of schedule.

(AP)

America is not what it used to be.

The United States, the only superpower in the world at the moment, a country that always asks other countries to learn from itself, did not expect the Supreme Court to frequently strike ruthlessly. Although the Democratic Party is in power, it has retreated steadily, making Biden unable to care about the so-called justice. Independence, to "declare war" to the Supreme Court.

No one laughs when Trump becomes president of the United States

Go back to June 16, 2015, the day Trump officially announced his candidacy for president of the United States. He said at the time, "The whole world is laughing at me. If I become president of the United States, they won't be able to laugh." not come out.

Trump's four years in office have profoundly changed the United States and profoundly affected the world.

Johnson is also known as the British version of Trump.

Look, today's United States, today's Britain, is not deeply affected?

There are too many controversies on Trump, anti-intellectual, arbitrary, domineering, and power-loving, but the most important thing is to intensify the split between the left and right populist forces in the United States, and is a destroyer of the democratic system.

According to a model of the International Monetary Organization, at the beginning of the outbreak of the new crown epidemic, global uncertainty reached an unprecedented level and continues to be at a high level.

The World Uncertainty Index is a quarterly measure of global economic and policy uncertainty, covering 143 countries.

The index reveals two important facts: first: the uncertainty of systemic economies affects the global uncertainty trend; second, the United States and the United Kingdom have produced significant uncertainty spillover effects, while other systemic economies Overall, the impact is small.

Uncertainty related to the United States has been a major source of global uncertainty over the past few decades.

In the past four years, Brexit-related uncertainty has also had a significant global spillover effect, contributing about 11% to the increase in global uncertainty over this period, with a peak level of more than 30%.

History does not end!

"Uncertainty" cannot be underestimated, it is very dangerous.

Abe was assassinated on the streets of Japan. Under the apparent harmony and calm, what could not be concealed was the tearing of society and the hatred of gnashing of teeth.

Abe's sudden death shocked the whole of Japan.

(AP)

The assassination of politicians often reflects the differences and tears within the society over the current domestic and foreign policies.

A flag that is too clear or strong will inevitably receive the same counterattack and response.

Amending the constitution or upholding the existing constitution?

Is it to speed up the process of militarization, or continue to adhere to open free trade and promote economic development as the foundation of the country?

Should we take the opportunity to break through the shackles of the post-war system and "transform" into an "ordinary country", or continue to maintain the status quo and wait for the next historical opportunity?

Various ideological trends and judgments are tearing apart Japanese society, and Abe's assassination is also a "microcosm" of the surging undercurrents of such social ideological trends that tend to tear apart.

The assassination of Abe reflects the pain of the top-down tear in Japanese society, and it also implies that Japan, which is hesitant to move forward in the context of the turbulent times, is showing confusion and worry about the historical choice of its own future destiny.

Japan, which used to be the most powerful western country in the East, considered itself the safest country. I never imagined that two gunshots were fired in a calm street, and a generation of political strongmen was assassinated in the street. What does this mean?

History does not end!

History has shown us all the misfortunes of these great powers.

This is the week that changed the world.

Of course, if you look at it from a historical perspective, not just this week, but every week the world is changing.

This is a world of verticals and horizontals, and this is an era of order re-creation.

Among them, there are swords, lights, swords and shadows, and there is no lack of happiness and enmity.

The surging drama is slowly opening.

Ja Weide, Hou Junwei, and Zhuo Huisi compete for the British Conservative Party leader Xin Weicheng to become a popular candidate. Biden signs an executive order to help protect American women's abortion rights. The death of the "right-wing boss" - an unfinished family long-cherished wish