This column should be started from the end, and it may piss off the opponents of the government.
Despite the resignations, the angry briefings, the threats and the general sense of chaos in the coalition - the government will not fall apart.
Ben Gvir and Netanyahu after the approval of the budget
The reason for this is simple: none of them really have anywhere to go.
Ben Gvir, Parosh, Gafni and Mouz know very well that it is possible to disrupt, threaten and get angry, but a gun that is placed in the first act - this time will not fire in the third act.
If he does shoot, it could be a head shot.
Political suicide.
Let's assume that the fury will increase, that all the Kitsin have lost their minds, that they dismantle the government and go to the elections.
What will happen?
The opposition will go to the elections in an optimal situation from its point of view, masses of opponents of the government are already mobilized outside, some mandates from the right make swing votes.
And the coalition?
In the worst case for her, you will lose everything, in the best case, you will return to the exact same car.
The current upheaval in the coalition, which includes the resignation of Avi Maoz, the removal of the responsibility of Parosh Memiron, the threats of Ben Gabir and the fury of the ultra-Orthodox, can be defined as a period of difficulties for the printer and adaptation.
No one in the coalition wants a reproduction of this image.
Netanyahu and Bennett at the exchange of prime ministers, June 2021, photo: Oren Ben Hakon
The phenomenon of multiple ministers and deputy ministers is not only unnecessary and wasteful, it also runs into bureaucracy and reality.
Minister Galit Distel Atabrian waited a month for the printer.
Avi Maoz asked for standards for employees who would sit down, filter and examine in depth the study programs offered to the educational institutions.
Not only did standards for the workers not arrive, even a room in the Prime Minister's office was hardly found for him and he continued to work in his room in the Knesset.
Forosh took the position of minister responsible for Miron, and found out that there was already a producer for the event, even if he had zero ability to influence.
He didn't even get a room in the Prime Minister's office. Avi Maoz, photo: Oren Ben Hakon
With Ben Gvir and the ultra-Orthodox, the story is a little different.
The hundreds of clauses in the coalition agreements lack two things - sanctions and reality.
True, all the signatories of the coalition agreements tried to do everything to reduce the gap between the agreements and reality, but somehow reality always wins.
Sometimes it's war, sometimes it's the corona virus, sometimes it's the security reality that makes it difficult for Ben Gvir, and sometimes it's economic sensitivity that requires not breaking budget frameworks and makes it difficult for the ultra-Orthodox.
During her time in the opposition, the partners of the right-wing government were like a united fist.
Everyone aligned under Netanyahu for one interest - changing the government.
When you come to power the fist is opened, and even when you give a finger it is not always enough.
Reality trumps commitments.
Minister Ben Gabir with MK Gafni and Minister Proosh (archive),
So what will happen next?
Here is a spoiler for the next meeting of the heads of the coalition - Netanyahu will say with half firmness and half a smile: friends, we are in a sensitive period anyway.
The opposition is fueled, the media is mobilized.
You can't cause an uproar over every little thing.
We all have a common interest.
He will remind his friends of the time in the opposition and ask if anyone wants to go back there, and will also mention the well-known rule that governments fall from within and that sometimes a small snowball rolls around and suddenly everything gets complicated and hard to stop.
He will ask for responsibility and consideration, and will promise to work on everything that is needed with patience.
The friends will enjoy, agree and leave reconciled - until the next dispute.
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