While the bulk of the surveys agree to highlight
a drop in the image of Javier Milei
and his government management during January, a consulting firm has just published a study with
two good news for the President
.
And it is not just another firm:
Espiral
is closely linked to Kirchnerism.
The study accessed by
Clarín
includes a national survey of
1,732 cases
, interviewed between the 14th and 19th of this month.
The results were published with a margin of error of +/- 3.1%.
Espiral
is a consulting firm directed by
Pablo Cano
, an analyst who worked at
Analogies
, the Kirchners' favorite pollster, and was even an official with Cristina in power.
That is why two pieces of information/figures contained in the survey caught our attention.
One economic and the other political.
On the one hand, when asked about the current situation, in the midst of strong increases in prices and salaries that do not accompany them,
the majority continues to blame previous governments more
than the current one.
On the other hand, in a couple of tables and in the conclusions of the survey it is clear that Milei does not have a tough and cohesive opposition to confront today.
"The opposition is vacant and it is an advantage for Milei
," summarizes
Cano
in dialogue with
Clarín
.
The new rift and the inheritance
As
Clarín
reported this week, pollsters have been warning about a new crack around the figure of the President, which manifests itself in extreme positions when asked about his image or management.
This concept is reaffirmed in the study of
Espiral
.
There,
Milei combines a 34% "very good" rating with a 40% "very bad" rating
.
Love and hate almost in similar proportions.
Regarding responsibility for the current situation, although the libertarian Government is pointed out by 29% of those surveyed, it is not at the top of the list and overall "loses" against Macri, Alberto and others.
When asked "
who is most responsible for your and the country's economic problems?
",
31.1%
choose
"all Peronist governments
. "
In addition, they complete:
"The government of Macri" 18.6%
,
"The governments of Macri and Alberto" 11.7%
,
"The government of Alberto 8.2%"
and "He doesn't know" 1.4%.
The (short) time to lower inflation
Another interesting topic that the survey addresses, and that was also pointed out by
Clarín
in several notes, is to see
how much time Milei has to show improvements
;
basically, to show downward numbers for inflation, the main concern of Argentines for almost a decade.
"
How much time do you think the Government has to start lowering inflation?
" consultant K first asks all those interviewed.
In this case, the answers should concern the President.
v1.7 0421
The times to lower inflation
Based on a national survey of 1,732 cases
Source:
SPIRAL
Infographic:
Clarín
"Less than 3 months," answered 41.5% of those surveyed
.
This number of around 40 points coincides with what today could be called the
toughest opposition
against Milei in public opinion.
They are, as explained, those who see him "very badly" when he wonders about his image.
"6 months
," responded
21.4%
, also a high number.
They completed
"until the end of the year" (18.8%)
and
"18 months" (18.3%)
.
Espiral
then
conducted a
survey among Milei voters
to see their level of tolerance for price increases.
And although the numbers give the Government a little more time, it is not something to celebrate either:
"Less than 3 months" said 13.1%, "6 months" 30%, "until the end of the year" 33.6% and "18 months" 23.3%.
Of allies and opponents
Regarding the
political chapter
of the survey, there are
two pieces of information to highlight
.
One linked to Milei's eventual allies and the other, as anticipated, related to the opposition.
In the first case, when the interviewees are asked "
which of these leaders do you think is the closest to Milei?
", the preponderance of
Mauricio Macri
remains very high.
48.8
%
choose the former president in this role, despite the fact that in recent weeks he took a bit of distance (at least publicly) from the libertarian administration.
Macri was even above Milei's first important political partner and his current vice:
Victoria Villarruel
appears with
22.4%
in the survey.
Patricia Bullrich
, Minister of Security, is close behind
, with
19.2%
.
Below, with insignificant numbers, are former governor
Juan Schiaretti (0.3%)
and deputy
Miguel Pichetto (0.2%)
.
They complete "don't know" with 6.4% and "other" with 2.7%.
Regarding the opposition, the question was linked to the general strike last Wednesday.
The consultant put it this way: "
Of the forces that called for the strike, which one do you think can best express opposition to Javier Milei's government?
"
An impersonal "others" won, with 28.3%, which was above:
2°
United Peronism
: 27.3%.
3° The
CGT
: 19.5%.
4°
Kirchnerism
: 10.5%.
5°
Social movements
: 9.6%.
6° The
left
: 3.2%.
7° The
CTA
: 1.6%.
For analyst
Cano
, this dispersion is a
reflection of opposition weakness
: "The pan-Peronist universe includes everyone, but without anyone who stands out. The leadership crisis is from above and also from below."