Eduardo Paladini
02/02/2020 - 16:30
- Clarín.com
- Politics
It is the crack taken to its maximum (and worse?) Expression. The impact of sympathy or party fanaticism in personal relationships. As a revival of the most polarized times in the country, a consultant went out to measure the levels of "tolerance" and political "isolation" of the people according to their affinity with Kirchnerism or Macrocrism. How is your circle of friends made up? What happens if a son K decides to marry a girl M? And backwards?
The study is from Real Time Data , a firm created last year and that makes daily update measurements. It is led by Nicolás Solari, political scientist and former Polyarchy. They have institutional clients, some of them foreign funds.
Clarín agreed to his latest work, a telephone and national survey of 1,001 cases , collected between January 16 and 27. The results were presented with a margin of error of +/- 3.16% and in a report of more than 30 pages.
At startup, a summary is made with the main results. And in the majority the crack is exposed :
- "42% of Argentines say they identify with one of the different versions of Peronism. It is a figure almost identical to the respondents who said they felt more represented by macrismo and radicalism (40% in total)."
- "In times of fissure and polarization, sympathizers of macroism and radicalism show greater rejection towards Kirchnerism , than what Peronist and Kirchnerist sympathizers manifest towards macrocrism. Macri voters are also the most likely to surround themselves with people who share their same political ideas. "
- " Alberto Fernández and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta are the best evaluated leaders in the country , both with a 55% positive image. Conversely, the leaders with the highest negative image are Mauricio Macri, with 58%, and Cristina Kirchner, with 55% ".
- "Pope Francis, with whom President Alberto Fernández will meet on January 31, reaps among the Argentines a positive image of 48% and a negative of 41%. Among those who negatively evaluate the Supreme Pontiff, the idea prevails that he gets too involved in the local political agenda . "
Three crack parameters
One of the chapters of the study is directly entitled "The Crack" . First, it starts with the identification of the respondents. "Which of the following political spaces would you say is closer to your own ideas?"
The division between the PJ-K and the PRO-UCR is almost exact . 42% identify with Peronism (27%) or Kirchnerism (15%), against 40% who manifest themselves as macro (21%) or radical (19%). They complete socialism (4%), communism (1%) and ns / nc (14%).
Then he goes with the most personal questions. "How would you feel if a son or brother of yours decides to marry a supporter ...?" The most extreme are the macristas : 38% would be "very disappointed" if a son or brother chooses a K supporter; 7% would feel "disappointed"; 49% would be "indifferent" and the rest "ns / nc".
In the opposite case, the marriage to a macrista, the "very disappointed" of Kirchnerism reach 22% (two points less even than those identified with Peronism); 14% of K would feel "disappointed"; 37% would be "indifferent" and the rest "ns / nc".
In the "level of political isolation according to the October vote", Macri voters are also more . 41% confess that "most of their friends and family" think in political terms like them. In Fernandez voters, the number is reduced to 34%. In both cases, the same percentage (50%) said they have friends and family in which "some think like them but others don't."
