Caution is the mother of safety.
A year before the presidential election, in 1964, de Gaulle largely won in the first round.
In 1980, Giscard was unbeatable, in 1987, Raymond Barre reached the final, in 1994, Balladur won hands down, in 2001, Jospin dominated the game.
In 2006, Royal was on the threshold of the Élysée, in 2011, Strauss-Kahn walked on the water, in 2016, Marine Le Pen beat Hollande in the second round.
The same year, Alain Juppé was the best of all.
Indispensable reminder: the survey we publish is not a prediction but a snapshot.
What does he tell us?
The left, fragmented in its representatives, locked in its radical struggles (the proof by Audrey Pulvar), shrinks visibly.
Forty years after the victory of Mitterrand, more social but societal at all levels.
The popular categories, by dint of being considered anachronistic - cisgender, non-racialized, heteronormous - have left for Marine Le Pen.
The RN candidate, despite
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