LE FIGARO.
- After the Covid crisis, Chinese power is asserting itself more than ever, while the chaotic departure of the United States from Afghanistan has been interpreted as a sign of decline.
In this configuration, is the return of war inevitable?
François HEISBOURG.
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The risk of war is higher than it was before the pandemic and it is set to increase.
One of the major reasons for this rise in tensions is the acceleration of Chinese power and its ideological, economic, technological, political confrontation with the United States, and perhaps with the democratic world more generally.
There is also technological evolution, which destabilizes the strategic situation through cyber warfare and which gives a daily character to conflicts.
The continuum from non-war to the hardest war is more straightforward than during the Cold War.
During the latter, there was no war as long as there was no shooting.
And, moreover,
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