Despite the fog of uncertainty that still surrounds the fate of the negotiations between the powers and Iran, which was held this week in Vienna, the picture regarding American intentions and positions is clear and crystalline.
Indeed, all indications are that President Biden's administration (unofficially involved in the talks) is determined to complete the current round of talks in an agreement with Tehran, even if its nature and essence are radically different from the ambitious goal set by "all presidential men" immediately after President -46 to the Oval Office.
Indeed, during the first year of his tenure, the initial outline of a "comprehensive settlement" with Iran gradually faded into oblivion, which was supposed to not only plug the loopholes and crunch in the original Vienna agreement from 2015, but also address rootstocks in other layers of the Iranian "operational code", including Regional subversion (which three weeks ago rose to a new violent level in the form of a missile attack by the Houthis, a spokesman for the Ayatollahs regime, against strategic targets in the UAE), and its ballistic missile program.
US President Joe Biden, Photo: AP
The initial and comprehensive plan is now being replaced by a shrunken and vegetarian version of the arrangement, based on a return to the outlines of the 2015 agreement, for all the weaknesses and dangers inherent in it, which have been further intensified in the past year. The threshold of realizing her nuclear dream.
Washington's decision last week to remove some of the sanctions on the Tehran "civilian" nuclear industry imposed by the Trump administration in 2020, on the one hand, and at the same time reassuring signals to Israel - including tightening strategic ties with Jerusalem and giving "green light", at least implicitly, to Israel Exercising independent judgment in the event of a tangible and immediate threat to it - on the other hand, are just two of the signs that faithfully reflect Biden's aspiration to reach an agreement as soon as possible.
This is despite the fact that in the East there is nothing new in terms of Iran's rigid and uncompromising positions in relation to the nature of the settlement.
For what alternative alternative could there be to the administration's decision to give the Iranian regime such a generous advance, in the form of the partial suspension of sanctions from Trump's creator without any tangible and simultaneous return on his part, other than Washington's desire to prove, not only conciliatory words but concrete actions, Her good will - and thus establish "conditions of affection" with the Revolutionary Guards?
This is in the spirit of the naive American legacy, which has its roots in the era of President Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who believed until his last day that unilateral gestures towards Joseph Stalin would provoke a corresponding response from the Soviet dictator, thus laying the groundwork for a new, stable and cooperative world order. And cooperation.
Bennett and Biden in the White House in August, Photo: Avi Ohayon / GPO
As for Israel, this is a series of cuts and promises, at the political and security level, designed to soften its opposition to the agreement, thus persuading it to refrain from an uncompromising struggle for American public opinion and Congress in the face of the emerging agreement.
Beyond the inherent innocence of the current liberal administration, which like the Obama administration prefers to sign perforated agreements and rely solely on the tool of "soft diplomacy" over the use, or threat of use, of "hard power" - anchors the conciliatory conduct of the American bishop in a set of But baseless hopes.
Thus, for example, in view of his demonstrable weakness in the international arena, to which the frightened withdrawal from Afghanistan has given a particularly prominent expression, the President estimates that the establishment of an agreement in Vienna will give him credit in this area.
In this way, it will also be possible for the White House, at least in theory, to focus on a set of issues at home and abroad, which in its eyes are more important than what is happening in the Middle East arena.
These are both the Russian threat to invade Ukraine, which poses a tangible danger of escalation, which will pose a top-notch leadership challenge to the United States;
IPA, Photo: Mitch McConnell
However, it is true that beliefs and dreams are separate, and reality is separate.
For, it now turns out that the Republican faction in the Senate does not intend to move to the agenda on the second "Vienna Agreement" and will strive to reduce as much as possible the room for maneuver and decision of the administration, despite being the minority faction at home, even if the Israeli government does not take defiant action.
The battle for Vienna has already begun, therefore, in Washington, and this is basically the battle for the character and leadership of the American eagle, which has recently become a white dove.
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