The sequence of events over the past month is changing the face of the Middle East.
Here are some trends that can be pointed out at this point: First, US status has weakened in the eyes of the region's leaders. (Reducing American involvement in conflict arenas) Continued in the Trump era, the current president, Biden, has also adopted the minimalist line and is in no hurry to intervene militarily and politically - as the Ukrainian case shows.
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, for example, treat the U.S. administration with heaviness and suspicion, and have refused to discuss with it lowering the price of oil.
Their suspicion increased even more when Washington sought to discuss the issue with Iran.
One of the implications of reducing U.S. involvement is the search for another global backbone, and in the past month one can already see signs of rapprochement between the Gulf states and Russia, especially on economic issues.
The second change that can be seen is the strengthening of Israel's position in the region.
The five-year summit in Sde Boker is, until now, the culmination of a process that began in 2020.
The countries that have signed peace agreements or normalization with Israel have long recognized the benefits inherent in these agreements (Israel as a bridge to the United States, advanced Israeli technology, regional cooperation in a whole range of areas, and more).
As time goes on, the Arab states break free from the traditional position that Israel is an enemy or a foreign plant in the region, and they seek to maximize national interests also by tightening ties with Jerusalem, and openly.
Directly following this, the third change can also be marked, and that is - a re-warming of Turkish-Israeli relations.
Make no mistake, Erdogan has not become a Zionist, but he seeks to secure Turkish interests vis-à-vis Jerusalem, and to ensure that Israel does not make alliances with other regional partners at the cost of potentially harming Turkey.
And there is one more change, which is in an unfinished process.
If until a decade ago it was possible to divide the countries (organizations) in the Middle East into "good" and "bad", (the moderate axis versus the axis of evil), then these terms have passed from the world.
In an age of regional upheaval, everyone (almost) talks to everyone and looks for ways to ensure stability, quiet and prosperity.
This is one of the reasons for the summit in Sde Boker, as well as the effort that, for example, the UAE is making, to become a significant regional player, including mediation in conflict arenas.
This is also the explanation for Syrian President Bashar Assad's visit to Abu Dhabi in the middle of the month.
The emirates understand that Assad is here to stay, and they are looking for a way to influence him knowing that they can help the bloody Syrian economy for more than ten years.
The sharp-eyed noticed that two days after Assad was in the Emirates, the emirate's regent came to Sharm el-Sheikh for talks with the Egyptian president and Prime Minister Bennett. What does this mean?
But it would not be surprising to find that the emirates are trying to mediate between Jerusalem and Damascus.
What has changed?
Lots.
And more will change.
Were we wrong?
Fixed!
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