Moreno's PP could only govern with Vox, according to the Andalusian CIS

The President of the Andalusian Government, Juanma Moreno Bonilla, during the award ceremony for the Andalusian Day medals. PACO PUENTES

The quarterly survey of the Center for Andalusian Studies (Centra) has no doubt that the only political force that is growing in Andalusia is Vox.

The Popular Party of Juan Manuel Moreno could only govern with the support of the extreme right, since Ciudadanos, his until now coalition partner, would barely win two seats if the regional elections were held now.

Vox is the only party that obtains revenue from the current turbulent economic situation, where the increase in prices is the second problem for Andalusians after the strike.

The Andalusian PP would win the regional elections with 34% of the support, 1.1 points less than in the previous poll, in December.

It would obtain 43 or 44 seats, according to the estimation of the Centra, a body dependent on the Ministry of the Presidency directed by Elías Bendodo.

This result is far from the absolute majority (55 seats out of 109), so Moreno would be forced to agree with Vox.

PP and Vox would add together, in the highest bracket, 66 seats.

Santiago Abascal's party is the only one that grows compared to the previous poll.

The Andalusian CIS grants him 19% of the votes, 10 points more than three months ago, and 22 seats.

Vox won 12 seats and 11% of the votes in the last electoral competition in Andalusia, which marked its debut in a Spanish Parliament.

For months now, the leaders of the extreme right have claimed that this time they will demand to enter the Andalusian Government to support the PP.

Moreno could not count on Ciudadanos.

In poll after poll, the Liberal Party is losing seats.

In 2018, Cs won 21 seats and 18.3% of the ballots, but now, according to the Centra estimate, it would barely add 4.3% and two deputies.

The result of the sum of all the ballots of the forces of the left does not exceed those of the right.

The Socialists rise two tenths compared to the previous survey (25.3%) and would maintain a result similar to the one they obtained three and a half years ago.

The Centra grants the PSOE led by Juan Espadas 30 or 31 seats, up to three less than those obtained by Susana Díaz, who hit electoral ground.

United We Can lose almost one point compared to the last study.

It would obtain 9.1% and 10 seats, compared to the 17 it obtained in 2018 with the Adelante Andalucía brand.

This electoral name is the one that the leader of Anticapitalistas, Teresa Rodríguez, wants to use in the next elections, but according to the Centra she could obtain 2.8% of the votes, which would give her at most one seat.

The survey consists of 3,600 interviews and was carried out from March 21 to 31, before the PP's national congress, held in Seville.

The sampling error is 1.63%.

Juan Manuel Moreno is preferred by 35.1% of those surveyed to preside over the Junta de Andalucía, far from the 14.1% who point to the socialist Juan Espadas.

Moreno, who has a degree of knowledge of 89.9%, is the only Andalusian leader who passes (5.6).

The candidate for Cs and Andalusian vice president, Juan Marín, and the deputy spokeswoman for Vox in Congress and probable candidate for the Board, Macarena Olona, ​​tied with 4.9.

They are followed by the parliamentary spokesman for Vox in Andalusia, Manuel Gavira (4.59);

the socialist Juan Espadas (4.49);

the general coordinator of Más País Andalucía, Esperanza Gómez (4.33);

the general secretary of Podemos Andalucía, Martina Velarde (4.27);

and Teresa Rodríguez (3.89).