An incumbent president, whose mandate has been marked by global crises, comes out on top after the first round of voting, facing an opponent who is running for the third time in the presidential election and embodies a radical change.
The two candidates are only separated by a few hundred thousand votes!
This scenario, almost identical to that of 2022, has already occurred.
In 1981. When Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, at the end of his seven-year term, marked by the two oil crises, faced François Mitterrand in the second round.
Revenge of 1974.
To discover
Second round: compare the programs of Macron and Le Pen
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Forty-one years later, can this scenario lead to the same result for the second round?
In 1981, we witnessed the victory of the opponent, thanks to a mobilization of his camp, the rejection of the outgoing president and an increase in participation (from 81.1% to 85.8% between the two rounds) ?
For Jean-Pierre Raffarin, who experienced this period,
“we find the same climate.
2022 looks like...
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