No more than a swallow makes a spring a poll makes an election.
Especially four years before the ballot, when no one can guess the real poster for the competition.
But if a poll is never a reliable barometer, it is an instructive thermometer.
And the Ifop survey published this weekend by
Le Figaro Magazine
proves how much the lines have moved since the re-election of Emmanuel Macron.
He will give a smile to Marine Le Pen and sow discord in the camp of the current president.
The most spectacular measure is indeed the breakthrough of the double finalist of 2017 and 2022. Between 29% and 36% in the first round, depending on the assumptions, the boss of the RN had never been tested so high.
Eleven years after her first presidential candidacy, she continues to progress.
It should be noted that it does this without recovering the base of Éric Zemmour, stable at 6-7%.
Nor bite on the LR electorate who, even with Laurent Wauquiez, would however remain below the credibility threshold.
Read also“The obsession of the political class for the 2027 presidential election shows, once again, its disconnection”
Which means…
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