If the decision to separate the presidential elections from those of the Head of Government in the City meant a victory for
Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
over
Mauricio Macri
, who together with
Patricia Bullrich
and
María Eugenia Vidal
proposed unified elections, the polls that measure for the local election can bring some calm to the former president.
Within an open and uncertain scenario,
Jorge Macri
, promoted by his founding cousin of the PRO, leads in four of the last five polls that were released.
The works that
Clarín
agreed to are from various consultancies: from
Federico González
y
Circuitos
, more linked to Peronism/progressivism, to
CB
and
Solmoirago
, which measure (among others) for the City Government;
o
Tendencies
, which tends to circulate in sectors of the left.
The five evaluated
PASO hypotheses
, mentioning only the Buenos Aires candidates.
That is to say, in these measurements,
there is no "drag effect"
, as would have happened in unified elections, with a long sheet list that starts with the presidential formula and ends with the Buenos Aires community members.
The four in which Jorge Macri wins
The Minister of Government of the City, who left the mayor of Vicente López in 2021 precisely to try to succeed Larreta in CABA,
leads in the polls of
Federico González, CB, Circuitos y Tendencias.
Jorge Macri
carries
two parallel fights
: on the one hand,
he seeks to be the sole candidate of the PRO
, a bid that basically pits him against the Minister of Health,
Fernán Quirós
.
And, on the other, he aspires to prevail in the Juntos por el Cambio internship, where his main rival is the radical
Martín Lousteau
, an ally of Larreta and who demanded separate votes.
The prize is just around the corner: it is discounted that whoever prevails in that STEP will be the next mayor of the City.
In Federico González
's survey
,
Jorge Macri has 19.5%, against 13% for Lousteau and 7% for Quirós
.
The total of JvC (with Ricardo López Murphy, Roberto García Moritán and Soledad Acuña relegated) remains at 49.7%.
That of
CB
is much
more even
, almost a triple technical tie between
Jorge Macri (18.3%), Lousteau (17.2%) and Quirós (16.6%)
.
Total JxC (with Acuña), 53.1%.
In
Circuits
,
Jorge Macri takes a broader light on Lousteau (23.4% to 18.3%)
and
Quirós
completes the podium , third but far, with
6.9%
.
If Acuña is added
, JvC ends up at 49.5%
.
And in the study of
Trends
, finally, Jorge Macri (20.5%), Fernán Quirós (14.6%) and Lousteau (11.7%)
are staggered
.
Total JxC 46.8%
.
Those of the Front of All is clearly leaner: in the four studies it is around 20/24 points, always with the deputy Leandro Santoro above Matías Lammens or Mariano Recalde or other candidates when they are added.
And in the case of the
libertarians
, here you can see how
without Javier Milei on the ballot
, his candidate
Ramiro Marra
achieved an interesting third place, but far from the numbers of the leader of La Libertad Avanza.
The legislator oscillates
between 7 and 13 points
.
The only one in which Lousteau wins
The radical senator prevails in the poll by
Solmoirago
, a pollster linked to the UCR and which measures for Larreta.
This poll, carried out by
Clarín
, makes the Macri uncomfortable, not only because the economist leads, but also because Quirós ends up very close to Jorge Macri.
With these numbers:
Lousteau 19.4%, Jorge Macri 17.1% and Quirós 15.8%
.
When the numbers of García Moritán and Acuña are added, JxC reaches 55.3%.
In the Frente de Todos and the libertarians, the logic of previous studies is repeated.
look also
Separate elections in CABA: who wins and who loses with the controversial decision of Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
New electoral survey: striking triple tie and strong impact by the departure of Mauricio Macri
