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Opinion | Iran and Hezbollah: Good luck to both sides | Israel Hayom

2023-07-30T06:14:28.441Z

Highlights: When Nasrallah is happy, along with his partners in Tehran and Gaza, we should be concerned, writes H.A. Hellyer. He says Iran may be trying to exploit Israel's weakness, but it's time to hit him. Heller: It's just a shame that we will have to pay the high price on the way there too, if there is a mistake. The rest of the Arab world is following with interest and amazement what is happening in Israel, but there are no false hopes or illusions.


When Nasrallah is happy, along with his partners in Tehran and Gaza, we should be troubled and not be under any illusions. Therefore, perhaps there is reason for Israel to choose the arena and timing of the conflict


In Tehran, Beirut and Gaza, our enemies rub hands with unconcealed pleasure. They believe that the dream of generations that they tried unsuccessfully to realize – to critically harm Israel and bring it down – is coming true before their eyes without lifting a finger.

The sights and sounds from Israel speak for themselves, and one can understand Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, who declared last week, as the storm in Israel reached its peak: "Israelis themselves admit that this day was the worst in the history of the Zionist entity, and this means that Israel has embarked, Inshallah, on a path of collapse, internal division and doom."

When Nasrallah is happy, along with his partners in Tehran and Gaza, we should be concerned. No one should have any illusions about what he really wants, and it is worth mentioning what he said a few years ago: "We do not want to fight, nor to destroy or throw anyone into the sea. We tell Israelis in the most civilized way that they must board planes or ships and return to where they came from. Only the Jews who lived in Palestine (before the arrival of the Zionists) could remain there. But the invaders, occupiers and settlers who came from all over the world must leave."

Nasrallah had already misread the map once, when in May 2000, following the unilateral withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Israel was likened to a "cobweb." But Nasrallah, as well as Yasser Arafat, who turned an ear to him, would discover during the second intifada, and later with the outbreak of the Second Lebanon War, that Israel was showing much more cohesion, resilience and strength than they had anticipated or expected.

It is possible that this is why Tehran agreed in consultations with Beirut and Gaza – according to Iranian sources – not to exploit Israel's weakness, but to let it continue to sink into the quagmire of internal disputes that seep into the IDF and harm its operational capability. This is out of fear that a confrontation initiated by Hezbollah or Hamas will save Israel from itself, forcing Israelis to set aside their differences and join forces in the face of the external threat they face.

But Nasrallah's judgment is hard to trust, and when his fingertips are tickled by the desire to mention his existence and earn points with his masters in Tehran, he may repeat the mistakes of the past and provoke Israel, or more precisely, continue and even escalate the provocations along the northern border, assuming, or perhaps hopingly, that Israel will contain his actions to avoid deteriorating into a confrontation. So is Nasrallah, so is Islamic Jihad and maybe even Hamas.

It is interesting, by the way, that the rest of the Arab world is following with interest and amazement what is happening in Israel, but there are no false hopes or illusions, nor are there any joy or joy of victory. After all, the Arab regimes with which Israel has signed peace agreements want a strong Israel capable of paying attention to their problems and security needs. Besides, they don't want anyone in the countries they control to get ideas of protest or rebellion against the government.

But members of the axis of evil are a completely different matter.

Rounds of confrontation and days of battle with them are therefore a question of time, and between them deterrence must be maintained and maintained. Therefore, perhaps there is reason for Israel to choose the arena and timing of the confrontation, and not allow Nasrallah and his partners, as usual, to drag us into confrontations time and time again at a time and place that we do not want. In short, it's time to hit Nasrallah, and nicely one hour earlier.

But these are not ordinary times in Israel, and on the weight of Henry Kissinger's remarks, it turns out that Israel lacks not only a foreign policy, but also a security policy, and what counts are considerations of domestic politics. Nasrallah will therefore continue to celebrate, take advantage of the weakness that Israel projects today vis-à-vis its enemies, and in the end will get what he deserves. It's just a shame that we, too, will have to pay an unnecessary high price on the way there.

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Source: israelhayom

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