Prime Minister Dreyer wants to continue to govern in Rhineland-Palatinate.
According to projections, the CDU has a historically bad result.
The live ticker to choose from.
Prime Minister Malu Dreyer
(SPD) ran for re-election in Rhineland-Palatinate, but their challenger Christian Baldauf (CDU) also fought for a place in the Mainz State Chancellery.
The SPD clearly wins in Rhineland-Palatinate according to the extrapolation
(see update from March 14, 9:05 p.m.).
You can also read the results of the election here (see link).
For the CDU, the result is historically bad, the party wants to analyze the situation now
(see update from March 14th, 7.30 p.m.).
The voter hike provides the first information
(see update from March 14, 8:54 p.m.).
This news ticker is updated regularly.
Update from March 14, 9:05 p.m.:
There is a new extrapolation from the Wahlen research group (as of 9:01 p.m.), in which the CDU can slightly increase compared to the last extrapolation.
It now comes to 27.4 percent - yet historically bad for Rhineland-Palatinate.
The SPD is also rising very slightly and lands at 35.7 percent.
The AfD loses and only comes to 8.5 percent.
Similar development at the FDP, which is currently approaching the five percent hurdle and currently stands at 5.5 percent.
The Greens hung rise to 9.1 percent.
The free voters drop to 5.4 percent.
was standing |
source |
Date / time |
SPD |
CDU |
AfD |
FDP |
Green |
FW |
left |
Other party |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Extrapolation |
ZDF |
14.3.2021, 9.01 p.m. |
35.7 |
27.4 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
9.1 |
5.4 |
2.5 |
5.9 |
Extrapolation |
ARD |
March 14, 2021, 9:05 p.m. |
36.1 |
26.5 |
8.9 |
5.6 |
8.8 |
5.9 |
2.5 |
5.7 |
Update from March 14, 8:54 p.m.:
The Rhineland-Palatinate CDU top candidate Christian Baldauf has ruled out quick personal consequences after the defeat in the state election.
“We're not going to change anything in terms of personnel for the time being,” he said at a press conference.
There is of course a content analysis.
It is interesting to whom the CDU seems to have lost its voters.
According to a preliminary analysis by infratest dimap (as of 7:38 p.m.), most of the votes (around 54,000 votes) went to non-voters, that is, they were simply lost.
After all, around 22,000 votes went to the Free Voters, around 19,000 votes to the SPD.
Update from March 14th, 8:40 p.m.:
The Rhineland-Palatinate Prime Minister Malu Dreyer (SPD) has announced early talks on the new edition of the traffic light coalition after the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate.
"It is very clear that I will sit down very quickly with my party chairmen and colleagues from the parties to clarify how we want to govern together in the future," she said.
In the SWR she was also asked whether she wanted to switch to the federal level with her results and popularity ratings.
“It won't change that I'm going to Berlin, I'm staying in Rhineland-Palatinate,” was her clear answer.
She wants to continue to support her colleagues at the federal level.
She doesn't have any tips for the Federal SPD because she believes the conditions are good: a candidate who can become a chancellor, a closed party and a good election platform.
According to an analysis by the Wahlen research group, the SPD scored particularly well with local issues.
Her pluses included her convincing government work, her reputation among the population and her expertise on the subject of Corona.
Dreyer remains the driving force behind the party and is particularly popular with top scores for performance and image points.
+
Prime Minister Malu Dreyer (SPD): She would like to continue the traffic light coalition.
© Arne Dedert / dpa
State elections in RLP live: Particularly high percentage of postal votes in Rhineland-Palatinate
Update from March 14th, 8:04 p.m.:
The postal voting
share
for the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate is particularly high: The ARD speaks of 65 percent, a share higher than ever in the Federal Republic.
As a result, however, the current results of the extrapolations may change in the course of the counting - more clearly than usual, as the pollsters are less able to estimate the voting behavior than that of the ballot box.
And there is a new projection from infratest dimap, as of 7:58 p.m .: The SPD is still clearly ahead with 36 percent.
The CDU, on the other hand, is losing significantly compared to the state elections in 2016: It currently stands at 26.8 percent, five percentage points less.
The AfD is also losing and stands at 9.1 percent.
The FDP continues to lose slightly in the projections and only comes to 5.7 percent.
The Greens improve their result to 8.2 percent.
The free voters rise to 6.1 percent.
State election in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: "I'm a very happy person today" - Dreyer (SPD)
Update from March 14th, 7.30 p.m.:
All the top candidates in the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate have come together on ZDF.
Prime Minister Malu Dreyer: “I am a very happy person today.” She wants to be Prime Minister for everyone again.
She achieved her goal of becoming the strongest force.
The election campaign was fun and it was a fair fight.
Christian Baldauf on the bad election evening for the CDU: "We had a situation that we had to analyze very carefully." Because of Corona, for example, the rulers were "omnipresent".
Because of the pandemic, topics were not as easy to play as usual and a "united team performance at all levels" is required.
But he doesn't want to say that Berlin is to blame for the mask affair.
One will now see which point would have led to the result.
Because four weeks ago the party was still ahead in the polls.
The Greens candidate Anne Spiegel said: "We have improved a lot as Greens, we are of course happy about that." She sees a clear government mandate for consistent climate protection.
For the AfD, the current extrapolation result of just under ten percent is slightly worse than in 2016. Your top candidate Michael Frisch saw 2016 as "extremely favorable electoral conditions".
“They were much worse this time,” he explains.
For example, because of the plans of the Office for the Protection of the Constitution to monitor the party or the corona pandemic, which made it difficult to penetrate the media.
FDP candidate Daniela Schmitt says: "We have kept our result stable." The party would like to continue to set accents in government responsibility and shape future issues.
Joachim Streit from the Free Voters also emphasizes: “The satisfaction is very high.” Dreyer concludes that she is aiming to continue the traffic light coalition with the Greens and the FDP.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: Free voters could enter parliament
Update from March 14th, 7:08 pm:
Joachim Streit, top candidate of the Free Voters in Rhineland-Palatinate, is in a good mood: “I'm delighted,” he said in the evening.
“A good horse barely jumps,” they say in a riding jump.
According to initial projections, the party is just above the five percent hurdle.
One will now wait to see how the postal votes go and what the results from the individual regions look like.
With this result, the government mandate goes to the old government: "For us that means we will sit on the opposition benches."
According to infratest dimap (ARD), the voter turnout is 64 percent, according to the research group Wahlen (ZDF) 65 percent.
In the state elections in 2016 it was slightly higher at 70.4 percent.
State election in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: "It's a bitter evening for us" - Baldauf (CDU)
Update from March 14th, 6:50 p.m .:
"It's a bitter evening for us," said Christian Baldauf, the top candidate of the CDU, in a statement.
“We wanted a better result, but unfortunately that didn't happen.” He congratulated Prime Minister Dreyer.
"I advocate not hanging your head," said Baldauf.
"Of course there were a few things that got in the way that didn't give us a tailwind." With this, he obviously refers to the mask affair in the Bundestag.
Update from March 14th, 6:34 pm:
"It's a happy evening for me tonight," said Prime Minister Malu Dreyer (SPD) in a first statement a few minutes ago.
The result is "a confirmation of our government work and a confirmation that the SPD is a well-positioned party." She is pleased that it is so clearly at the top and that it has a clear government mandate.
Election analyzes by the ARD show that their popularity ratings in Rhineland-Palatinate are a decisive factor in the SPD's success.
Update from March 14th, 6:20 pm:
“Today is not a good election evening for the CDU,” said Paul Ziemiak after the first forecast.
One would have wished for better results, said the Secretary General of the CDU.
According to the forecasts, the SPD remains the strongest force, but compared to the state elections in 2016, it is currently losing percentages.
The free voters can be happy, they currently land at 5.5 percent.
Boss Hubert Aiwanger writes on Twitter: "... that brings us to Bavaria and Brandenburg in the 3rd state parliament." The final result is still far from clear.
State election in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: Bad results for the CDU
Update from March 14, 6:10 p.m.:
The prognosis for the CDU is even worse than the last poll results.
The Saxon Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer sees the mask affair from the Bundestag as one reason, for which the CDU Rhineland-Palatinate has now also been punished.
He describes this as an "unspeakable affair" that gets something stuck.
The Greens, on the other hand, are happy.
Party leader Annalena Baerbock has already made a happy statement.
Lars Klingbeil, SPD general secretary said: "It works without the conservatives."
Update from March 14, 6 p.m.:
The polling stations in Rhineland-Palatinate are closed and the forecast is there: As expected according to the polls, the SPD is ahead with 34.5 percent.
It is followed by the CDU with only 26 percent, according to the ARD polls.
The traffic lights could continue to rule.
Due to the large number of postal voters and because the researchers cannot exactly predict their voting behavior, the next projections may still change in the course of the evening.
So it remains exciting.
+
SPD top candidate Malu Dreyer comments on the outcome of the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate after the first prognoses.
© Boris Roessler / dpa
Update from March 14th, 5:51 p.m.:
The election campaign took place largely virtually and the election parties in the evening have to be different than usual due to Corona. Many parties have moved their celebrations to digital.
Nevertheless, the top candidates will take their chance and make a statement after the first projections.
If the polls are right, the top candidate for the Greens, Anne Spiegel, could be happy as they could possibly double their 2016 result.
And the Free Voters can still hope for a happy evening if they make it into the Mainz parliament for the first time.
A great result could even make it difficult to form a coalition for a traffic light.
Wait, the forecast comes at 6 p.m.
State election in RLP live: CDU comments on a tweet from the SPD
Update from March 14, 5:05 p.m.:
The polling stations in Rhineland-Palatinate are still open for just under an hour, then the forecasts and later the first projections are expected.
Interesting questions for the election evening: How does the SPD around Prime Minister Malu Dreyer fare against the CDU?
Will the Free Voters make it into parliament?
Which coalitions are possible - in addition to the traffic lights, possibly also red-green?
At this point also the statement of the CDU Rhineland-Palatinate from Twitter on a tweet by the SPD about a letter to election workers
(see update from March 14, 11:05 a.m.)
.
"Dear colleagues, these allegations are absurd and have no basis," the party wrote as a comment.
“The election workers do a decent job.
We thank them for their commitment in difficult pandemic times. "
Update from March 14, 3:16 p.m.: It is
already
becoming apparent
that the proportion of postal voters in the 2021 state election in Rhineland-Palatinate will be very high.
That could make the election evening even longer.
Due to the time-consuming counting of the numerous postal votes, it is likely that some of the results will change after the first forecast at 6 p.m.
So there is excitement.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate live: Significantly higher proportion of postal voters
Update from March 14th, 1:49 p.m.:
In the meantime, the first figures on voter turnout in the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate are available.
According to the regional returning officer, almost 52 percent of those eligible to vote had cast their vote by 12 noon (voter turnout for the state election 2016: 70.4 percent).
However, the rush in the polling stations "because of the high number of postal voters" was also missing for the time being.
By taking random samples in some municipalities, it was revealed by noon that the proportion of urn voters was around 7.5 percent.
A further 44.5 percent have therefore already voted by postal vote.
Update from March 14, 12.41 p.m.:
According to the state election control, the state election in Rhineland-Palatinate has so far
gone
smoothly.
As Hans Ulrich Weidenfeller from the office of the regional returning officer of the
dpa
explained, there have been no special incidents since the polling stations opened on Sunday morning at 8 a.m.
The authority did not yet want to comment on the level of voter turnout.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: Prime Minister Dreyer votes in Trier
Update from March 14, 11:37 a.m.:
Prime Minister Malu Dreyer has since cast her vote.
The SPD politician did this together with her husband Klaus Jensen at a polling station in her hometown of Trier.
"I am confident," said the Rhineland-Palatinate state chief after the vote.
+
Prime Minister Malu Dreyer casting the vote.
© Thomas Frey / dpa
Update from March 14, 11:05 a.m.:
A tweet from the SPD Rhineland-Palatinate causes a stir on election day.
It shows the printout of a letter to election workers.
The document is said to have been sent by the CDU politicians Sven Koch and Thomas Weiner.
The following sentence is also used: "When counting votes, please make sure to check the votes of the SPD so that you don't accidentally add a few ballot papers." A winking smiley follows.
+
This letter is said to have been sent to CDU circles.
© Screenshot / twitter.com/spdrlp
"Is that a call for election fraud?
Completely wrong, "commented the Social Democrats on the tweet.
However, there is still some uncertainty about the authenticity of the letter.
Meanwhile, the SPD asked Weiner, CDU member of the state parliament, to make a statement on the incident.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: polling stations are open
Update from March 14, 9.48 a.m.:
Due to the corona pandemic, significantly more postal voters among the 3.1 million eligible voters are expected in the 2021 state election in Rhineland-Palatinate.
The proportion of people who voted by letter before election Sunday could reach a record high.
Anyone who nevertheless decided to go to the ballot box can vote today for one of twelve political parties or an electoral association (“The Climate List”).
Update from March 14th, 8.26 a.m.:
Today is election day in Rhineland-Palatinate.
The polling stations there have been open for a few minutes.
Until 6 p.m. all eligible voters can vote on who should rule the state in the future.
We will inform you about the first forecasts and surveys in Rhineland-Palatinate on this election Sunday.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: Prime Minister Dreyer (SPD) in polls in front
First report from March 14, 8 a.m .:
Mainz - These are the first elections of the super election year 2021 and the first state elections of the corona pandemic: On Sunday, those eligible to vote in Rhineland-Palatinate are called to elect a new representative in politics.
In the election, 101 seats are to be allocated in the Mainz state parliament.
Twelve parties and an electoral association compete.
The top duel is between Prime Minister Malu Dreyer (SPD) and her challenger Christian Baldauf (CDU)
carried out.
After 30 years of government in the SPD, the CDU finally wants to move back into the state chancellery.
According to the polls, it could be an exciting race.
The SPD last came to values between 30 and 33 percent, the CDU landed at 29 to 31 percent.
There are many indications that the current traffic light coalition made up of the SPD,
The FDP and the Greens could go on, at least the SPD was very open to this.
Baldauf from the CDU did not commit to a desired alliance.
Due to the corona pandemic, significantly more people than usual already cast their votes by postal vote
instead of going to the polling station.
As announced by the regional election management, had
By Wednesday morning around 44 percent of all eligible voters had already applied for postal votes.
Assuming a voter turnout of 70 percent, that would correspond to a postal voter share of a good 63 percent.
In the state elections in 2016, it was almost 31 percent.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate (RLP) live: five parties are currently represented in parliament
As at the federal level, the representatives are elected according to the personalized proportional representation.
The voters therefore have two votes, the constituency and the state vote.
With the first vote, the direct candidate of the constituency is determined - the winner is whoever receives the most votes in the constituency.
With the second vote, one of the approved state or district lists is chosen - in the end, a ratio of the voting shares is obtained.
The five percent hurdle is important here: lists below five percent are not taken into account when allocating mandates.
And: If a party has won direct mandates, these will be offset against the mandates obtained to which they are entitled based on the second share of the vote.
The result of the state elections 2016 at a glance:
SPD:
36.2 percent
CDU:
31.8 percent
AfD:
12.6 percent
FDP:
6.2 percent
Greens:
5.3 percent
Left:
2.8 percent
Other party:
4.9 percent
At that time, the SPD was able to grow slightly compared to the 2011 election, but the CDU lost a total of 3.4 percentage points.
The Greens lost even harder: over ten percentage points.
This time they want to make significant gains again, but in surveys in Rhineland-Palatinate they do worse than the national trend.
The constituencies won the CDU or SPD in 2016.
State elections in Rhineland-Palatinate live: will the free voters make it?
- Choice is also important for Laschet
It could be exciting on election evening for the Free Voters.
Most recently, depending on the survey, they achieved between 3 and 5 percent.
Moving in is therefore not ruled out, which could result in a new party joining the state parliament.
Top candidate Joachim Streit can therefore dream of a possible record result.
The left, on the other hand, are currently mostly seen at around 3 percent.
+
Christian Baldauf, CDU top candidate in the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
© Political Moments / Imago
The Bundestag and Landtag elections are two pairs of shoes, but the federal parties will look closely at the election in Rhineland-Palatinate and also at the election taking place in Baden-Württemberg at the same time.
Christian Baldauf from the CDU is currently fighting particularly against the anger against Union politicians in the Bundestag who are connected to the mask affair or other allegations.
That doesn't give him a tailwind, he noticed that himself.
And the elections will also be important for CDU boss Armin Laschet: Although he does not run directly anywhere, the results of Sunday will play a role in view of the open question of the candidate for chancellor in the Union.
Dreyer more popular than Baldauf - the results of the state elections in RLP are likely to be tight
Prime Minister Dreyer can look forward to good popularity ratings.
In a direct comparison with her opponent Baldauf, she scores significantly better as the preferred candidate with an accepted direct election.
Dreyer had the advantage in the Corona election campaign of appearing frequently in the media due to her office.
For example, because she was always present at the summit meetings of the country leaders with Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU).
The polling stations in Rhineland-Palatinate close at 6 p.m. on Sunday.
Then the forecast from the polls on election day is expected before projections follow in the evening until the final result is certain.
You can read all the important developments in this ticker.
(cibo)
List of rubric lists: © Arne Dedert / dpa
