The Limited Times

Now you can see non-English news...

Data analysis for the election in Rhineland-Palatinate: SPD scores with women and the elderly

2021-03-14T22:31:26.508Z


Social Democrats and Greens benefit from the weak result of the CDU in Rhineland-Palatinate. Malu Dreyer's SPD convinces women, people over 60 - and also some former AfD voters. The analysis.


Icon: enlarge

Voting in a Mainz polling station

Photo: Thomas Frey / dpa

The SPD remains the strongest force in Rhineland-Palatinate.

According to initial projections, the party of Prime Minister Malu Dreyer received around 36 percent of the votes in the state elections.

It is doing practically as well as it was five years ago and is well ahead of all other parties.

(Read our lightning analysis here.)

The traffic light coalition of the SPD, Greens and FDP will presumably continue to govern.

"I've never left any doubt that the government alliance was a great one and that I'll be happy if it continues," said Dreyer on the evening of the election.

Which voter hikes led to this result?

Who won votes from the competition?

The overview.

The

SPD

won 19,000 voters from the Union and 4,000 from the AfD.

This emerges from an analysis of the preliminary voter migration by Infratest dimap for the ARD.

This contrasts with 8,000 votes that the Social Democrats lost to the Greens, as well as 4,000 votes each that went from former SPD voters to the FDP and other parties.

In addition, 31,000 people who previously voted for the SPD did not vote.

The group of non-voters was also large among those who had voted for the CDU in the past: 54,000 former

CDU

voters stayed at home this year.

The Christian Democrats could only win 8,000 votes from the FDP.

Incidentally, they lost to all other parties.

The

AfD

alone was able to gain 3,000 former CDU voters.

Incidentally, the party lost in all directions: 4,000 votes each to the SPD and FDP and even 2,000 to the Greens.

42,000 people who had previously voted for the AfD did not use their voting rights this time.

The

Greens

won 9,000 votes from the CDU and 8,000 votes from the SPD.

The FDP and AfD chased away 2000 votes each.

4,000 people who voted green five years ago did not vote this time.

The Greens lost 2,000 votes to other parties.

The

FDP

won over 4,000 people who had previously voted for the SPD or AfD.

This contrasts with losses of 8,000 votes to the Christian Democrats and 2,000 votes to the Greens, as well as 6,000 former Liberal voters who did not vote in this election.

The

turnout

was lower than in the state elections in 2016, but higher than in the three previous votes: 63.2 percent of all eligible voters cast their votes.

SPD scores with women and older voters

A look at the voting behavior in different

age groups

shows that the Social Democrats got the best result of all parties everywhere.

The rule was: the older the voters, the better the SPD did.

She won a quarter of the votes for the 18 to 24 year olds and the 25 to 34 year olds.

Among the over-60-year-olds, Prime Minister Dreyer's party came to 42 percent: for people over 70 it was 44 percent, for 60 to 69-year-olds 41 percent.

The Greens were particularly popular with young voters.

In the 18- to 24-year-old age group, they achieved the second-best result with 19 percent, and the third-best result for the 25- to 34-year-olds after the SPD and Union.

The latter achieved its best values ​​in the older groups of voters: with 30 percent of voters between 60 and 69 and 40 percent of those over the age of 70, it was the second strongest in each case.

A look at voting behavior by

gender

shows that the SPD scored points with women.

39 percent of the voters voted for the Social Democrats - compared with 33 percent of the voters.

The AfD got its votes mostly from men: 11 percent of the voters voted for them, but only 7 percent of women.

The ratio was almost balanced among the Greens (9 percent women, 7 percent men) and the FDP (7 percent men, 5 percent women).

There were no significant gender differences among the CDU and Free Voters.

The

SPD won 46 percent of all votes

among voters with a basic

level of education

, and 30 percent among those with a higher education.

The Union got three out of ten votes among the less educated, among people with a high level of education, the Christian Democrats got 24 percent.

The Greens scored particularly well in this group: They got 14 percent among people with a higher level of education - compared to only three percent among voters with a low level of education.

Icon: The mirror

Source: spiegel

All news articles on 2021-03-14

You may like

News/Politics 2024-02-29T09:23:50.300Z
News/Politics 2024-04-04T09:37:49.363Z
News/Politics 2024-02-21T13:04:14.734Z

Trends 24h

Latest

© Communities 2019 - Privacy

The information on this site is from external sources that are not under our control.
The inclusion of any links does not necessarily imply a recommendation or endorse the views expressed within them.