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Epidemic | Xu Shuchang worried about the big outbreak after the Chinese New Year, and called for the New Year's greetings in batches to take 6 to 8 weeks before the epidemic subsides

2022-02-02T06:18:30.577Z


The fifth wave of the epidemic is not yet settled. Xu Shuchang, an expert consultant to the government and a chair professor of the Department of Respiratory Medicine at CUHK, pointed out that based on the experience of the first four waves of the epidemic, there may be as many as 90 transmission chains in the community in Hong Kong, and the epidemic will take at least 6 to 8 weeks.


The fifth wave of the epidemic is not yet settled. Xu Shuchang, an expert consultant to the government and chair professor of the Department of Respiratory Medicine at CUHK, pointed out that based on the experience of the first four waves of the epidemic, there may be as many as 90 transmission chains in the community at present, and the epidemic will take at least 6 to 8 weeks to clear. It is expected that the number of confirmed diagnoses will drop to a low double-digit number by then.

He also pointed out that the proportion of cases with unknown sources is currently high, and it is difficult to track them. He appealed to the public to avoid cross-family gatherings unless necessary, or to consider paying New Year's greetings in batches, and to maintain ventilation in the home.


(Photo by Liang Pengwei/File photo)

The positive material of sewage samples from multiple districts has revealed invisible patients

Xu Shuchang, an expert advisor to the government and chair professor of the Department of Respiratory Medicine at CUHK, said in a radio program today (2nd) that based on the experience of the first four waves of the epidemic, there may be as many as 90 transmission chains in the current community in Hong Kong, and the epidemic will take at least 6 to 8 weeks to resolve. It will slow down, and it is expected that the number of confirmed cases will fall back to low double digits by then.

Although it is the Lunar New Year, Xu Shuchang pointed out that Omicron transmission is currently occurring in the community, and sewage samples from many districts are positive, which means that invisible patients may have appeared in the district. In addition, the proportion of cases with unknown sources is currently high, and it is difficult to track them. There will be a big explosion in the next year.

He appealed to the public to avoid cross-family gatherings as much as possible, or to consider paying New Year's greetings in batches, and to maintain ventilation in the home.

Xu Shuchang also said that once the epidemic breaks out again, the local area may need to open up the AsiaWorld-Expo and second-line hospital beds to receive patients.

On February 1st, the inspection of the closed area of ​​Dongmanlou, Tai Hang Tung Village, Sham Shui Po


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On February 1, Taihu Mountain Villa in Tai Po was closed for inspection.


Oral medicines are not a substitute for vaccinations

In addition, the first batch of oral medicines for the treatment of COVID-19 arrived in Hong Kong in March. Xu Shuchang pointed out that if the confirmed elderly and high-risk persons take it within 5 days of the onset, the chance of hospital admission can be reduced by 90%; however, he stressed that oral medicines cannot replace vaccination, even if The second-generation vaccine will be available as soon as mid-year, and the public should receive booster doses as soon as possible to maintain antibody levels.

Hospital Authority relaxes discharge conditions Xu Shuchang points out that high Ct value has no transmission

Starting today, the Hospital Authority has relaxed the discharge conditions for patients diagnosed with the new crown. Patients only need three samples with a Ct value of 33 or above to be discharged from the hospital, and then they need to be quarantined at home for 14 days.

Xu Shuchang pointed out that the HA used to send the samples to the virus laboratory of the University of Hong Kong for cultivation. The study found that the CT value of the samples was 30 or above, that is, the amount of virus was low and the virus could no longer be cultivated. "The samples are no longer contagious and continue to be trapped ( What is the benefit of the hospital)”, I believe that the relaxation of the conditions will shorten the hospitalization time of patients by 5 to 7 days.

Epidemic situation|The female worker of the General Affairs Team of the Shatin Headquarters of the LCSD was initially diagnosed as having visited the bus temple on the 29th of the Lunar New Year.

Latest | News: 4 new cases in Kwai Chung Village today, of which the new unit in Ying Kwai Building has been diagnosed with the epidemic | News: The Hospital Authority relaxes the discharge conditions on Wednesday and does not require a negative test to reduce the number of hospital days | Yan Chai Hospital Orthopedic Ward Administrative Assistant diagnosed with a total of The assistant of the patient sent 22 cases to quarantine, the source of which was unknown, and the fifth wave of the epidemic reached a new high. Zhang Zhujun: More tests will make it easier to detect cases

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2022-02-02

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