Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Galant in a statement near the scene of the attack in the Jordan Valley, April 7, 2023 (Elad Malka)
In recent days, the Intelligence Division of the IDF has warned the political echelon that war is closer than a lull - this is what Vala learned today (Tuesday). According to AMAN's estimates, the security tensions will not disappear after the end of the month of Ramadan, and the security trend could lead to war.
According to the same estimates, an unusual response against Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran's affiliates in Syria should be waited to cool down the explosive religious tension that has developed around the Temple Mount.
The intelligence division's data also shows that the tensions around the Al-Aqsa Mosque capture the various arenas, and increase the effect of incitement against Israel on social networks.
Additionally, Israel's enemies recognized the United States' withdrawal from the Middle East, which included removing advanced aircraft from the region and replacing them with less advanced aircraft.
This change affects Israeli deterrence, alongside the growing American preoccupation with China and Russia.
Security escalation (photo: official website, --)
Also, the AMN estimates that Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei decided a year ago to respond to Israel's actions against the regime in Tehran. According to estimates, the Iranian leader demands a response to the assassinations and attacks attributed to Israel, and therefore the Iranians are making an effort to move the terrorist actions into Israel and not leave them to Israel. The borders. At this stage, according to the same estimates, the Iranians are not succeeding in their mission, but continue to exert pressure from Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Gaza and even Judea and Samaria. Passover opened last week with a
sign of security escalation in several areas. Even before Seder night, rockets were fired from the Gaza Strip towards The surrounding settlements, while a day later shelling from Lebanon territory joined the settlements of the Western Galilee. A new arena was opened earlier this week when several rockets were also fired from Syria towards the south of the Golan Heights. At the same time, on Friday two attacks occurred - in the Jordan Valley, where a mother and her two daughters were murdered, and in Tel Aviv A tourist was murdered.
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Army and security
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tension
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Escalation in the south
Escalation in the north