The French economy is slowly recovering from the succession of shocks it has faced in recent years: months of pandemic and restrictions, disorganization of production chains, soaring inflation... After all these extreme events, 2023 and 2024 promises to be years of transition, exposed to many risks: geopolitical tensions, a surge in the energy market, bank failures.
In this fragile context, according to the latest forecasts from the French Economic Observatory (OFCE), inflation will remain high in 2023, while unemployment will start to rise again at the end of the year.
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Oscillating between 5.5% and 6.5%, the rise in prices should begin to deflate only from 2024
“to converge towards 3% at the end of next year”
.
The growth of the gross domestic product (GDP) would be modest: 0.8% in 2023 and 1.2% in 2024.
“It would be driven by investment and the restocking of companies
, advances Mathieu Plane, director…
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