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The dollar strengthens against the shekel; "Security tensions and anticipation of a harsh report by Moody's" | Israel Hayom

2023-10-03T09:32:42.290Z

Highlights: Dollar rose 0.4% and traded at NIS 3.8460. Sources warn of further weakening of the shekel: "A breach of the NIS. 3.86-3.88 range will signal movement towards NIS 4 per dollar" Hints of interest rate increases in the US. "Security tensions and anticipation of a harsh report by Moody's," says Ronen Menachem, chief market economist at Mizrahi-Tefahot, told Israel Hayom.


An increase of 0.4% and traded at NIS 3.8460 • Sources warn of further weakening of the shekel: "A breach of the NIS 3.86-3.88 range will signal movement towards NIS 4 per dollar" • Hints of interest rate increases in the US


The dollar has strengthened since Tuesday morning against the dollar, mainly due to the strengthening of the dollar worldwide. It rose 0.4% to trade at NIS 3.8460. It should be noted that on weekdays, trading in the foreign exchange market is thinner, which may cause higher volatility in currency rates.

The dollar strengthens against the shekel, illustration, photo: GettyImages

Yossi Freiman, CEO of Frico Risk Management, Finance and Investments, warns of further weakening of the shekel. "Against the background of the High Court hearings and the reduction of foreign activity, the potential for shekel appreciation is limited. A breach of the NIS 3.86-3.88 range will signal movement towards NIS <> per dollar. The depreciation of the shekel and a further rise in exchange rates will lead to an increase in the shekel interest rate as a preventive measure to reduce inflationary pressures."

"Expecting a tough report from Moody's"

"The dollar is strengthening today against the shekel, both due to the strengthening of the dollar worldwide and against the background of local events. On the local level, it is likely that there is an impact on security reports from the Gaza and Lebanese sectors," Ronen Menachem, chief market economist at Mizrahi-Tefahot, told Israel Hayom.

"These reports, which joined the escalation in the Jenin area, come against the background of already high security tensions during Chol Hamoed," he said.

Expecting a report is difficult. Moody's Credit Rating Agency, Photo: Reuters

Hints at US interest rate hikes

Menachem explains that it is possible that the expectation of a "difficult report," in Moody's words, which is due to be published soon, is adding to the pressure in the foreign exchange market. Regarding the international arena, Menachem notes that "the dollar has recently strengthened against most other currencies in the world, including the shekel, because of the expectation of high and prolonged interest rates in the US (Fed officials hint at this) and also because of global risk aversion (against the background of declines in equity markets around the world and geopolitical tensions) that strengthens the dollar as a safe foreign currency – as mentioned against the shekel as well."
In conclusion, Menachem notes: "With all this, there is still no deviation from the range of 3.80-3.85 that the shekel-dollar has been moving in for some time."

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Source: israelhayom

All news articles on 2023-10-03

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