Despite optimistic reports, it is too early to say that the Israeli young woman is on her way home - but it is clear that something is happening

Russian media reports of Naama Issachar's imminent release are converging into a series of clues on the subject, which have been noticeable over the past two weeks. It is important to note that there is no certainty that Shachar will actually arrive in Israel next week, when President Putin visits Israel, and it is not clear whether he will ever be granted a pardon. However, it is impossible to ignore what seems, at the very least, as a turnaround in the atmosphere around the affair.

Naama Issachar's family in court in Russia

Last Thursday, Israel unexpectedly released two Druze prisoners from the Golan Heights, who have Syrian citizenship. One of the two was involved in a Syrian wounded civilian lynching, brought to Israel to receive medical treatment, and the ambulance in which he was transported was attacked by an angry mob of Assad supporters in the Golan Heights.

Apparently, there is no connection between this humanitarian gesture towards Syria and Naama Issachar's interest. However, things are probably more complex and related to each other. About eight months ago, in March 2019, Zachary Baumel's body was recovered from Israel, following the Sultan Yaakov battle that was buried in Syria. The complex diplomatic move that followed the operation included deep involvement of the Russians, who exerted their immense influence on President Assad.

The release of the two Druze prisoners last week was apparently part of a larger move aimed at helping the Russians further strengthen their status in Syria, and probably also related to a deal they allegedly formed with Issachar.

Or in other words, the release of both Syrians is likely aimed at a future counter-gesture of Russia rather than a past tribute for which the price was paid.

In addition, last week, Prime Minister Netanyahu sent a letter to President Putin on the issue of Issachar, and even made it public. The publication of the letter indicates not only the magnitude of Netanyahu's efforts in the matter, but also probably his willingness to "gamble" in his reputation for the release of Issachar. This is joined by this morning's talk between Netanyahu and Putin on the issue, which in Jerusalem said was "hot and relevant," and that progress was being made toward resolving the Israeli young woman's case.

Many talk about the close relationship between Netanyahu and Putin, two leaders who share a conservative worldview and probably also enjoy good chemistry between them. This connection, whose importance to Israel far exceeds Issachar's interest, allows the IDF freedom of action in Syria vis-à-vis Iran and its metastases, and is considered as a top strategic asset.

After Yissachar's arrest, many commentators and politicians on the political left rushed to take advantage of the incident to claim that "Putin did not count Netanyahu," and that the talk of the strong connection between the personalities was nothing more than an eyesore. These claims have no basis, regardless of whether Issachar will be released next week or at another close date.

There is indeed an unusual connection between Netanyahu and Putin in the diplomatic landscape, and although it is clear that Putin is primarily concerned with Russia's interests, this connection may well soften his position on Issachar. In addition, it is not unreasonable to assume that thanks to good relations Putin sees Netanyahu's reign as a Russian interest as well, and therefore he wants to give "an election gift" to the prime minister through the release of Issachar.

Putin and Netanyahu. An unusual connection in the diplomatic landscape // Photo: IP

However, it is still early to celebrate. Black auditors may argue that the latest reports are nothing more than a smokescreen designed to abolish protests against the Russian president who designed Ishkar's supporters. This is not a reasonable script, but it cannot be ruled out.

By the middle of next week, with Putin's arrival along with dozens of world leaders at Yad Vashem to mark the 75th anniversary of the Auschwitz extermination camp, we will probably be smarter. Until then, all he has to do is keep his fingers crossed, and hope he does indeed make his way home.

It should be noted that the events marking the 75th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz are a tribute to Putin, as they will allow him to highlight the part of the Soviet Union in defeating the Nazis - a historic chapter in the West that dares to speak, while Putin is very important to correct the injustice. In his eyes, Israel is helping him, too.