Which parties win the most votes in the local elections in Bavaria? According to surveys, there are clear winners - and many possible losers.
- CSU, Free Voters and Greens do well in polls for local elections in Bavaria *.
- A poll reveals what is important to voters when choosing their officials.
- The first results from Bavaria * will be announced on election evening.
- We send you the most important stories from your Merkur.de * region once a week in our free, local newsletter. Register and receive all information about the election on Monday morning at 6 a.m. On the evening of the election, we will keep you up to date in our news tickers about local elections in Bavaria * and the mayor election in Munich *.
+++ Results of the mayoral elections +++
+++ Results of the city and local council elections +++
+++ Results of the district elections +++
+++ Results of the district elections +++
Update of March 15, 5:15 p.m .: The latest forecasts for the 2020 local elections in Bavaria showed trends for the larger cities. The regional candidates clearly played a major role in this. Overall, however, some trends can be expected for the federal state. A general forecast is that the Greens can have hopes that municipalities and counties will win more mandates than in 2014. Their general upturn is likely to be noticeable. In 2020, the AfD will move into Bavaria's municipal parliaments to a much greater extent than before.
Forecasts from Nuremberg, Ingolstadt, Regensburg, Munich
Update of March 11, 2020: In the last days before the 2020 local elections in Bavaria, forecasts are available from individual cities. The picture looks very different regionally. In the city of Munich, surveys predict that the incumbent mayor, Dieter Reiter (SPD), can count on a clear majority.
According to a poll from Nuremberg *, the SPD is at risk of falling. Mayor Ulrich Maly (SPD) is not running for election again. His possible successor from the SPD is Thorsten Brehm, who was only forecast 28 percent of the vote. However, he is still clearly ahead of his CSU pursuer Marcus König. A runoff vote would be the logical consequence for these numbers.
Even in Ingolstadt, the incumbent cannot hope for an election victory in the first round. 33 percent are predicted Christian Lösel (CSU). Presumably, several controversies have affected poll values in Ingolstadt *.
One of the most curious constellations arises in the OB election in Regensburg. The former mayor Joachim Wolbergs (SPD) was suspended and replaced by Gertrud Maltz-Schwarzfischer (also SPD). Wolbergs now starts again with its own list and wants to become OB again. According to the latest poll from Regensburg, he and his successor are on par with voters.
Local elections in Bavaria 2020: poll shows most important criterion for many voters
First report: Munich - Who will have the political majorities in Bavaria over the next six years? A question that is not easy to answer. The 2020 municipal election in Bavaria is about 39,000 political mandates in 2056 independent Bavarian municipalities. But there are indications: For example, the Bavarian Radio had 1004 voters in Bavaria polled for the “BayernTrend” in January before the election.
The result: If there had been a state election at that time, the Greens could have counted on 25 percent of the vote. The CSU would have reached 36 percent . Free voters and AfD would have come to 10 percent each, the FDP to only 4 percent - and they would have flown out of the Bavarian state parliament. This BR poll is also bad news for the SPD: It dropped to 7 percent of the vote. The left would have got 3 percent .
But the calculation is not that simple if you choose at the municipal level. Accurate polls on local elections in Bavaria are only available for larger cities, for example for Munich *. What can be expected in small communities cannot be derived directly from the national surveys.
Poll on the local elections in Bavaria: CSU and free voters receive praise - Greens as well
A coalition of CSU and free voters has governed the Bavarian state parliament * since 2018. 61 percent of those surveyed stated in the “BayernTrend” that they were satisfied with their government work. The Greens did the best in terms of the opposition's performance: 48 percent supported their work.
The makers of the survey emphasized that two months before the date of the local elections in Bavaria 2020 *, the level of interest among the population was high. 74 percent of those questioned were "very strongly" (31 percent) or "strongly" (43 percent) interested in the topic. The remaining 26 percent therefore had “no pronounced” or “no interest at all” in the Bavarian elections.
An interesting point of the poll * on local elections in Bavaria: Bavarian voters do not only pay attention to the candidate among mayors and district administrators (direct election). The person of the politician is also important to them in the local parliaments, where they can promote certain candidates by means of the accumulation and variegation *. 85 percent stated that they were guided by their decision. 75 percent attach great importance to the content of statements made by the parties and lists, the survey says.
Just a little more than a month until the #2020 municipal election in Bavaria ⏲️ What questions are you burning on this topic? Send them to us under the hashtag #FragMerkur and we will answer them in time for the poll on March 15th #MerkurWahlberichte pic.twitter.com/zHaQ08MW9h
- Merkur.de (@merkur_de) February 12, 2020Greens in the poll High before 2020 local elections: ambition for 700 new mandates
The Greens hope for the top poll values before the local elections in Bavaria 2020: They want to get around 700 new mandates, as parliamentary group leader Ludwig Hartmann explained. A total of 2500 green local politicians should be reached. The party wants to compete with lists in all Bavarian cities with more than 10,000 inhabitants.
In the last local elections six years ago, the Greens achieved their best result in the Free State with 10.2 percent. In the 2019 European election * they achieved 31.2 percent in Munich - well ahead of the SPD. The CSU gained almost five percent of the vote in the state capital in 2014 - however, the party achieved nationwide less than 40 percent for the first time in decades. For the SPD there was a historically poor result in Bavaria with 20.7 percent.
You can find all the news from the Free State on the topic page *, the Bayern ticker * offers a selection of everything important. Merkur.de * reports from the state capital in the Munich ticker *.
In some Bavarian cities there are concrete polls before the election, in others it is not clear whether voters can expect forecasts before March 15. Here you will find the current status from the cities of Augsburg *, Regensburg * and Passau *.
* Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network.
frs with material from dpa