Andrew Michta is Dean of the College of International and Security Studies at the George Marshall Center in Garmisch, Germany. He speaks here in a private capacity.
LE FIGARO.
- You announced the arrival of the war, last year, in these columns.
What do you expect from the Ukrainian counter-offensive?
And how to qualify the current geopolitical moment?
Andrew MICHTA.
-
Putin replays 1991. You know Russia well.
She goes through spasms, especially when she loses her wars.
So after the defeat at Tsushima, in 1904, there was the revolution of 1905. After the defeat of 1917, the Russians had two revolutions and a bloody civil war.
After the end of the cold war, we had an implosion of the USSR and centrifugal forces began to act, before centripetal forces, like the Bolsheviks in 1917, regained control under Putin.
Today, the situation reminds me of the interregnum period of the Weimar Republic.
At the time, a whole current…
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