Sustainable transport in 2030 will exceed that of cars

Sustainable transport will surpass that by car by 2030 in the largest cities in the world.
The use of public transport, bicycles and walking in ten years will represent 49% of the total number of journeys made in urban centers, while the use of cars will drop from the current 51% to 46%. At the head of this change, among the cities, is Manchester followed by Moscow, Sao Paulo, Paris and Johannesburg, while Milan is in sixth place together with Guangzhou. This was revealed by Mobility Future, the Kantar study presented at the Un-Habitat World Urban Forum in Abu Dhabi which examined 31 major cities in the world.
According to the research, the fastest growing means of transport will be the bicycle, considering an expected increase of 18% from now until 2030. The choice to move on foot will grow by 15%, as well as an increase of 6 is expected % in the use of public transport. "In the coming decade - explained Andrea Galimberti, Head of Mobility, Kantar Insight - we will see a significant change in the way we move around cities. There will be an obvious preference for greener means of transport than one's car. Technology will be decisive for designing a sustainable future. But every city is different and what is effective in New York may not be for Tokyo. For this reason - it concludes - it is important to put the needs of individuals at the center of our thoughts, to better understand and predict the behaviors that will verify and the opportunities that will emerge. "

Galimberti underlines that "the great cities of the world need to strategically plan their initiatives according to the future needs of citizens. In order for change to take place, it is essential that it is driven and guided by both cities and people: citizens will not be able to act as yourself. " Administrations, continues the Head of Mobility, Kantar Insight, "must be careful in balancing infrastructure investments with solid urban mobility policies and at the same time, propose awareness-raising initiatives to obtain the trust and support of their citizens. Our research shows that there could be a significant advantage for politicians who will be able to guarantee their city an efficient public transport service. " Analyzing the case of Milan, sixth in the ranking of the city transformation index, the study 'Mobility Future' explains how the Lombard capital is destined to become one of the cities that will be renewed the most in terms of transport. 552,000 residents will change their travel habits, from now to 2030, which is equivalent to 17% of the population.

By 2032, half of the cars sold worldwide will be electric. In 2050, road transport will see 75% more vehicles, but will consume significantly less than today: these are just some of the forecasts contained in the new annual Energy Transition Outlook (ETO 2019) report of the international certification body Dnv Gl. An increasingly widespread electrification will be responsible in the long run for a radical change in energy demand. The environmental advantages related to e-mobility will also be joined by economic ones, with costs related to management and maintenance reduced compared to those of conventional cars, not to mention the forecast of a significant decrease in the costs of batteries for electric vehicles , expected over the next 5 years, the duration of which will also tend to increase. The Dnv Gl Report also shows that the total cost of ownership for vehicles of this type will remain unchanged for the next 5 years: only after 2023 will there be a drastic drop in costs, in particular for commercial vehicles. "To accelerate the energy transition, policies in favor of sustainable technologies are needed - underlined Stefano Crea, Director Market & Industries of Dnv Gl-Business Assurance -. Otherwise, the risk is that of not being in line with the ambitions of the Paris Agreement ".