In Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate, the state elections are not looking good for the CDU.
The live ticker gives an overview of both elections.
The
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
* and the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
* will take place
on March 14, 2021
.
The two
state elections
will start the
super election year 2021
, which will culminate in the federal elections in autumn.
You can find news about the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate * and news about the state elections in Baden-Württemberg * on our topic pages.
Update from Saturday, March 13th, 2021, 1:45 p.m.:
Both in
Baden-Württemberg
and in
Rhineland-Palatinate
, the
state elections in 2021
indicate
poor results for the CDU.
In Baden-Württemberg, the union involved in the government is heading for a debacle.
And in Rhineland-Palatinate, too, according to current surveys, it does not look as if the CDU of the traffic light coalition made up of the SPD, Greens and FDP could dispute the majority.
The
Greens
could be the
winners of the first
state elections of
the year
.
Both under Winfried Kretschmann in
Baden-Württemberg
and under Anne Spiegel in
Rhineland-Palatinate
, the party is doing very well in the latest polls.
Whether the trend at the ballot box will be confirmed remains to be seen on Sunday.
State elections 2021: decisions will be made in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate
Update from Friday, March 12th, 2021, 1.30 p.m.:
Hello and welcome to the
live ticker for the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg
.
Here we will keep you up to date on all events related to the
election on Sunday
(March 14th).
Will the Greens in Baden-Württemberg continue their triumphant march?
Is the CDU really crashing historically?
And can the SPD beat the CDU again in Rhineland-Palatinate?
We'll know more soon.
In addition, you will not miss anything in our individual live tickers on the result of the state election in Baden-Württemberg * and the result of the state election in Rhineland-Palatinate *.
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© Patricia Neligan
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate ring in the super election year 2021
First report from Friday, March 12th, 2021, 10.19 a.m .:
Stuttgart / Mainz / Frankfurt - The
super election year 2021
begins on March 14th
.
It starts with two
state elections
: the federal states of
Baden-Württemberg
and
Rhineland-Palatinate are elected
.
The Prime Ministers of the two federal states do not come from the Union - and it could stay that way if you look at the current surveys.
This
live ticker
keeps you
up to date on
election
Sunday
and afterwards about the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
and the
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
.
The ticker looks at
forecasts, projections and the results
, but also on other topics related to the two
state elections
, which
usher in
the
super election year
and are therefore likely to be of great importance for politics in the federal government.
State election in Baden-Württemberg: Kretschmann and the Greens clearly ahead, CDU collapses
Baden-Württemberg
is currently governed by a Green-Black coalition under Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann * (Greens).
The Greens * are stable over 30 percent in the polls before the state elections in Baden-Württemberg *.
The CDU * with top candidate Susanne Eisenmann * collapses and, according to recent surveys, could even undercut its historically weakest result (27 percent in 2016).
While the left is likely to fail at the five percent hurdle, according to the polls, the AfD * comes
to ten to twelve percent
in the polls before the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
.
date |
Institute |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/09/2021 |
Civey / mirror |
32 |
24 |
12th |
13th |
10 |
4th |
6th |
05.03.2021 |
ZDF political barometer |
35 |
24 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
3 |
7th |
02/13/2021 |
INSA / image |
31 |
28 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
4th |
5 |
02/05/2021 |
Research group elections \ t |
34 |
28 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
3 |
5 |
02/04/2021 |
Infratest dimap \ t |
34 |
27 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
3 |
6th |
State election in Rhineland-Palatinate: SPD and CDU head to head, Dreyer with an advantage
In
Rhineland-Palatinate
, a traffic light coalition * consisting of the SPD *, FDP * and the Greens * under Prime Minister Malu Dreyer * (SPD) governs.
This coalition is doing well in the polls ahead of the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate *: It can defend its majority in all polls.
The situation is different in the fight for the strongest force in the
state parliament in Mainz
: Here the SPD with top candidate Malu Dreyer and the CDU * with top candidate Christian Baldauf * are in a neck-and-neck race.
Depending on the survey institute, the SPD is sometimes one to several percentage points in the lead, an opinion research institute sees the two popular parties at 30 percent each.
However, the advantage is likely to lie with the SPD: Malu Dreyer has the bonus of the rulers, at the same time the CDU in
Rhineland-Palatinate
as in
Baden-Württemberg has
to fight with the mask affair *
date |
Institute |
SPD |
CDU |
FDP |
Green |
AfD |
left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10/2021 |
Civey / mirror |
31% |
30% |
8th % |
13% |
9% |
2% |
03/09/2021 |
Insa / image |
30% |
30% |
6% |
12% |
10% |
3% |
05.03.2021 |
Research group elections |
33% |
29% |
7% |
11% |
9% |
3% |
03/04/2021 |
Infratest dimap |
30% |
28% |
9% |
12% |
9% |
3% |
The
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg
are taking place amid the corona pandemic *, which should mean that numerous people in both federal states will vote by postal vote *.
Rhineland-Palatinate
is even prepared to hold the state election as a purely postal vote * - however, state returning officer Marcel Hürter sees major hurdles and assumes that those
eligible to vote
can visit
the
polling stations
.
There should be special hygiene concepts to protect voters and election workers from corona infection.
The polling stations are open for the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate
from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Shortly after the polls have closed, the first forecasts * for both elections should be published.
These are based on exit polls, i.e. anonymous surveys of people who have left the polling station.
First projections * from
Baden-Württemberg
and
Rhineland-Palatinate
should follow around 6.30 p.m.
These numbers are already based on counted ballot papers.
In the course of the evening there will be several
projections
until the
preliminary official final results
are
presumably
published
late in the evening
.
State elections in BaWü and RLP: preliminary official final results in the late evening
In the last
state election in Baden-Württemberg
, the provisional official final result was announced around 10.30 p.m., in
Rhineland-Palatinate
it was fixed around 10.40 p.m.
It
is difficult to predict
whether the
results of the 2021 state elections will be determined
at similar times, as numerous postal votes and corona hygiene measures could slow down the counts.
However, one thing is already certain: the
official final results of the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg
will only be announced several days after the state elections.
In
Baden-Württemberg it
took
around three weeks
after the
state elections in 2016
,
and
eleven days
in
Rhineland-Palatinate
.
(Tanja Banner and Nico Scheck)
* fr.de is an offer from IPPEN.MEDIA.
List of rubric lists: © Patricia Neligan