Projections for the state elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate show that the CDU is suffering a massive slump.
The live ticker gives an overview of the elections.
The
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
* and the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
* took place
on March 14, 2021
.
The two
state elections
will start the
super election year 2021
, which will culminate in the federal elections in autumn.
You can find news about the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate * and news about the state elections in Baden-Württemberg * on our topic pages.
+++ 10.56 p.m.:
The
SPD
will probably be the third strongest force in
Baden-Württemberg
.
According to the research group Wahlen, the SPD comes to eleven percent, according to ARD even to 11.2 percent.
The left clearly missed the entry into the state parliament, the AfD remains just below the ten percent mark.
source |
Time |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
FW |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARD |
10:22 p.m. |
32.7 |
23.8 |
9.8 |
11.2 |
10.4 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
5.6 |
ZDF |
10.30 p.m. |
32.7 |
24.1 |
9.7 |
11.0 |
10.4 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
5.5 |
State elections for Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate live: CDU crashes
+++ 10:23 p.m.:
The latest
extrapolation for the state election in Rhineland-Palatinate
confirms it: The free voters are about to jump into the
Rhineland-Palatinate state parliament
.
Although the numbers are not yet the
preliminary official final result
, it should not take long - and the numbers of free voters have so far remained stable above the five percent.
source |
Time |
SPD |
CDU |
FDP |
Green |
AfD |
left |
Free voters |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARD |
9.44 p.m. |
36.1 |
26.5 |
5.6 |
9.3 |
8.6 |
2.5 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
ZDF |
9:51 p.m. |
35.7 |
27.5 |
5.5 |
9.2 |
8.4 |
2.5 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
Meanwhile, it is already becoming clearer who will
rule
in
Rhineland-Palatinate
in the future
:
Prime Minister Malu Dreyer
(SPD) has already announced that she will soon start coalition negotiations with her previous partners in the
traffic light coalition
- the FDP and the Greens.
State elections for Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate live: In BaWü there is even enough green and red
+++ 9:21 p.m.: Of all things
,
CDU top candidate Susanne Eisenmann has
clearly lost
her own constituency
.
According to preliminary information from the State Statistical Office, Eisenmann only got 21.7 percent in the Stuttgart II constituency, while the Green Party politician and State Transport Minister Winfried Hermann received 39.8 percent of the vote.
Meanwhile, the CDU threatens the next blow in the neck.
According to current projections by ARD, the Greens are 32.4 percent.
This would currently even be
enough
for a
green-red coalition
.
Of 143 seats, the Greens and SPD come to exactly 72.
source |
Time |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
FW |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARD |
8:53 p.m. |
32.4 |
23.6 |
10.1 |
11.6 |
10.4 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
5.4 |
ZDF |
8:34 p.m. |
31.9 |
23.4 |
10.4 |
11.2 |
10.3 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
5.6 |
+++ 8.10 p.m.:
The
third extrapolation
from ARD * for the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
is here.
Accordingly, the Greens are expanding their lead as the election winners and are currently 32.4 percent.
The CDU has 23.6 percent, the AfD 10.1 percent, the SPD with 11.6 percent, FDP 10.4 percent, the Left with 3.5 percent and the Free Voters with three percent.
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate live: traffic light coalition could be enough
+++ 7:35 p.m.:
In
Rhineland-Palatinate
, according to the first
projections
,
it should be
enough
for a continuation of the
traffic light coalition
made up of the SPD, FDP and the Greens.
The free voters should make it into the
state parliament in Mainz
for the first time
.
The CDU achieved its lowest result in
Rhineland-Palatinate
, while the SPD and the Greens celebrate their election results.
SPD Chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz is pleased that "a government can be formed without the CDU in Germany".
source |
Time |
SPD |
CDU |
FDP |
Green |
AfD |
left |
Free voters |
Others |
ARD |
7.44 p.m., extrapolation |
35.7 |
26.8 |
5.9 |
8.0 |
9.6 |
2.3 |
6.0 |
5.7 |
ZDF |
7.26 p.m., extrapolation |
35.5 |
26.9 |
5.9 |
8.2 |
9.3 |
2.5 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
+++ 7:06 p.m.:
In an interview with "Phoenix",
CDU top candidate Susanne Eisenmann
announced that she would take full responsibility for the
historic crash of the CDU in Baden-Württemberg
.
After the first projections, the picture remains the same.
The Greens are clearly ahead of the CDU, which gets its lowest result.
AfD is currently the third strongest force, followed by the SPD and FDP.
source |
Time |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
FW |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZDF |
6:38 p.m. |
30.9 |
23.1 |
12.5 |
10.8 |
11.4 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
4.9 |
ARD |
6:36 p.m. |
30.7 |
23.3 |
11.8 |
11.7 |
11.3 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
4.7 |
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate live: Kretschmann and Dreyer dup the CDU
+++ 6:34 p.m.:
Green leader Robert Habeck evaluates the performance of his party in the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate
as a "great green election victory".
The result gives the party tailwind for the federal election.
Habeck said he expected that the Greens
would continue to participate in a government
not only in
Baden-Württemberg
, but also in
Rhineland-Palatinate
.
In
Rhineland-Palatinate
, the Greens are currently ruling with the SPD and FDP in a traffic light coalition which, according to current forecasts, continues to have a majority.
+
The CDU crashed massively in the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg.
© Michael Kappeler / dpa
+++ 6.20 p.m.:
According to ARD (Infratest dimap), the numbers in the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg are
currently as follows:
Greens: 31 percent
CDU: 23 percent
AfD: 11.5 percent
SPD: 12 percent
FDP: 11.5 percent
Left: 3.5 percent
Free voters: 3 percent
Others: 4 percent
State election in RLP live: CDU in front of worst result
+++ 6.14 p.m.
After the first forecast for the
state election in Rhineland-Palatinate,
a look at the numbers: The SPD does better than in the last polls, the CDU, on the other hand, has - the numbers remain similar until the preliminary official final result - its worst Result achieved in
Rhineland-Palatinate
.
The Greens have almost doubled their result from 2016, the AfD should be satisfied with a double-digit result.
For the first time, the free voters have the chance to move into the
state parliament in Rhineland-Palatinate
.
First forecasts: live figures for the state election in Rhineland-Palatinate
+++ 6:04 p.m.:
The first forecast for the
state election in Rhineland-Palatinate
is here (SWR / Infratest dimap): SPD 33.5%, CDU 25.5%, AfD 10.5%, FDP 6.5%, Greens 9 , 5%, Left 3.0%, FW 5.5%, Others 6%.
The SPD is likely to become the strongest force in the
Mainz state parliament
, while the CDU achieved its
weakest result in Rhineland-Palatinate
.
source |
Time |
SPD |
CDU |
FDP |
Green |
AfD |
left |
Free voters |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Infratest dimap |
Forecast, 6:00 p.m. |
34.5 |
26 |
6.5 |
8.5 |
10.5 |
2.5 |
5.5 |
6th |
For comparison: In the
state elections in
2016, the SPD was the strongest force in the
Mainz state parliament
with 36.2 percent
, while the CDU experienced a debacle with top candidate Julia Klöckner and 31.8 percent.
The Greens reached 5.3 percent in 2016, the FDP came to 6.2 percent.
The SPD, Greens and FDP have been working
together in the government's traffic light coalition
since the
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate in
2016.
The AfD reached 12.6 percent in 2016, the free voters then got 2.2 percent of the vote.
First forecasts from 6 p.m .: Live figures for the state election in Baden-Württemberg
source |
Time |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZDF |
6 p.m. |
31.5 |
23 |
12.5 |
10.5 |
11 |
3.5 |
8th |
+++ 6.00 p.m.:
The first forecasts for the state election in Baden-Württemberg are there.
According to ZDF *, the Greens come to 31.5 percent, the CDU historically falls to 23 percent.
AfD reached 12.5 percent, SPD 10.5 percent, FDP eleven percent and the Left 3.5 percent.
+
Incumbent and challenger: Winfried Kretschmann wants to remain Prime Minister of Baden-Württembert, Susanne Kretschmann wants to be the first woman at the top in the southwest.
© Sebastian Gollnow / dpa (archive image)
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate: CDU before nightmare Sunday
+++ 17:23:
The CDU is facing
bankruptcy
both in the
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
and in
Baden-Württemberg
.
In Baden-Württemberg, according to current surveys, the Greens are
up to eleven percent ahead of the CDU
, and the SPD is also the favorite in Rhineland-Palatinate.
Even more: As “focus.de” reports,
two thirds of the CDU supporters prefer Winfried Kretschmann
as Prime Minister in Baden-Württemberg - and thus oppose their own top candidate Susanne Eisenmann.
State elections in BW and RLP: Postal voting could cause election thriller
+++ 4.10 p.m.:
Do we have to be prepared for a
very long election evening
?
In contrast to the previous elections, in which the 6:00 p.m. forecast showed an initial result, the state elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate could be characterized by great uncertainties.
The reason:
The high number of
postal voters
makes it
difficult to assess the mood
.
This is what a reporter for "ARD" reports on Twitter.
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate - projections from 6 p.m.
"If many postal voters voted more than ten days ago, they did so
when the political mood was different,"
said the reporter.
That makes it more difficult for election research.
Therefore, there will probably
not be any quick projections
.
+
Not only in Baden-Württemberg, but also in Rhineland-Palatinate, the state elections will take place on Sunday.
© Patricia Neligan / dpa
+++ 2.48 p.m.:
In the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
and
Rhineland-Palatinate
, the polling stations are open.
The first
results of
the two elections are expected
after 6 p.m.
The Prime Minister of
Baden-Württemberg, Winfried Kretschmann (Greens)
,
cast his vote
in the
state elections
on Sunday morning (March 14, 2021)
.
The Green politician chose Sigmaringen in his hometown, as a party spokeswoman said on the request.
Kretschmann wants to defend his government office against Culture Minister Susanne Eisenmann (CDU) in the state elections in the southwest.
In the last
polls
, the Greens von Kretschmann, who have been in power in Baden-Württemberg since 2011, were at historic
highs of 32 to 34 percent
.
You have a clear gap of up to eleven percentage points on the current coalition partner CDU.
+++ 2.28 p.m.:
In
Rhineland-Palatinate
, 52 percent of voters have so far cast their vote, as the state election officer announced on Sunday, March 14th, 2021.
Since a particularly large number of people
cast
their votes in the
state elections
by
postal
vote
, it has so far been very quiet in the polling stations, reports the "SWR".
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate: polling stations are open
Update from Sunday, March 14th, 2021, 8:22 am:
The
state elections have
begun
in
Rhineland-Palatinate
and
Baden-Württemberg
.
The
polling stations
in both federal states
opened at 8 a.m.
All eligible voters who have not yet voted can cast their votes here until 6 p.m.
Because of the
corona pandemic
*, many eligible voters have voted in advance by letter.
+
Malu Dreyer (SPD) and Christian Baldauf (CDU) lead their parties in the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate.
© Andreas Arnold / dpa
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate: CDU threatens a false start into the super election year 2021
Update from Saturday, March 13th, 2021, 1:45 p.m.:
Both in
Baden-Württemberg
and in
Rhineland-Palatinate
, the
state elections in 2021
indicate
poor results for the CDU.
In Baden-Württemberg, the union involved in the government is heading for a debacle.
And in Rhineland-Palatinate, too, according to current surveys, it does not look as if the CDU of the traffic light coalition made up of the SPD, Greens and FDP could dispute the majority.
The
Greens
could be the
winners of the first
state elections of
the year
.
Both under Winfried Kretschmann in
Baden-Württemberg
and under Anne Spiegel in
Rhineland-Palatinate
, the party is doing very well in the latest polls.
Whether the trend at the ballot box will be confirmed remains to be seen on Sunday.
State elections 2021: decisions will be made in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate
Update from Friday, March 12th, 2021, 1.30 p.m.:
Hello and welcome to the
live ticker for the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg
.
Here we will keep you up to date on all events related to the
election on Sunday
(March 14th).
Will the Greens in Baden-Württemberg continue their triumphant march?
Is the CDU really crashing historically?
And can the SPD beat the CDU again in Rhineland-Palatinate?
We'll know more soon.
In addition, you will not miss anything in our individual live tickers on the result of the state election in Baden-Württemberg * and the result of the state election in Rhineland-Palatinate *.
State elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate ring in the super election year 2021
First report from Friday, March 12th, 2021, 10.19 a.m .:
Stuttgart / Mainz / Frankfurt - The
super election year 2021
begins on March 14th
.
It starts with two
state elections
: the federal states of
Baden-Württemberg
and
Rhineland-Palatinate are elected
.
The Prime Ministers of the two federal states do not come from the Union - and it could stay that way if you look at the current surveys.
This
live ticker
keeps you
up to date on
election
Sunday
and afterwards about the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
and the
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
.
The ticker looks at
forecasts, projections and the results
, but also on other topics related to the two
state elections
, which
usher in
the
super election year
and are therefore likely to be of great importance for politics in the federal government.
State election in Baden-Württemberg: Kretschmann and the Greens clearly ahead, CDU collapses
Baden-Württemberg
is currently governed by a Green-Black coalition under Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann * (Greens).
The Greens * are stable over 30 percent in the polls before the state elections in Baden-Württemberg *.
The CDU * with top candidate Susanne Eisenmann * collapses and, according to recent surveys, could even undercut its historically weakest result (27 percent in 2016).
While the left is likely to fail at the five percent hurdle, according to the polls, the AfD * comes
to ten to twelve percent
in the polls before the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg
.
date |
Institute |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/09/2021 |
Civey / mirror |
32 |
24 |
12th |
13th |
10 |
4th |
6th |
05.03.2021 |
ZDF political barometer |
35 |
24 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
3 |
7th |
02/13/2021 |
INSA / image |
31 |
28 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
4th |
5 |
02/05/2021 |
Research group elections \ t |
34 |
28 |
11 |
10 |
9 |
3 |
5 |
02/04/2021 |
Infratest dimap \ t |
34 |
27 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
3 |
6th |
State election in Rhineland-Palatinate: SPD and CDU head to head, Dreyer with an advantage
In
Rhineland-Palatinate
, a traffic light coalition * consisting of the SPD *, FDP * and the Greens * under Prime Minister Malu Dreyer * (SPD) governs.
This coalition is doing well in the polls before the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate *: It can defend its majority in all polls.
The situation is different in the fight for the strongest force in the
state parliament in Mainz
: Here the SPD with top candidate Malu Dreyer and the CDU * with top candidate Christian Baldauf * are in a neck-and-neck race.
Depending on the polling institute, the SPD is sometimes one to several percentage points in the lead, an opinion research institute sees the two popular parties at 30 percent each.
However, the advantage is likely to lie with the SPD: Malu Dreyer has the bonus of the rulers, at the same time the CDU in
Rhineland-Palatinate
as in
Baden-Württemberg is
struggling with the mask affair *.
date |
Institute |
SPD |
CDU |
FDP |
Green |
AfD |
left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10/2021 |
Civey / mirror |
31% |
30% |
8th % |
13% |
9% |
2% |
03/09/2021 |
Insa / image |
30% |
30% |
6% |
12% |
10% |
3% |
05.03.2021 |
Research group elections |
33% |
29% |
7% |
11% |
9% |
3% |
03/04/2021 |
Infratest dimap |
30% |
28% |
9% |
12% |
9% |
3% |
The
state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg
are taking place in the midst of the corona pandemic *, which should mean that numerous people in both federal states will vote by postal vote *.
Rhineland-Palatinate
is even prepared to hold the state election as a purely postal vote * - however, state returning officer Marcel Hürter sees major hurdles and assumes that those
eligible to vote
can visit
the
polling stations
.
There should be special hygiene concepts there to protect voters and election workers from corona infection.
The polling stations are open for the
state elections in Baden-Württemberg and Rhineland-Palatinate
from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Shortly after the polls have closed, the first forecasts * for both elections should be published.
These are based on exit polls, i.e. anonymous surveys of people who have left the polling station.
First projections * from
Baden-Württemberg
and
Rhineland-Palatinate
should follow around 6.30 p.m.
These numbers are already based on counted ballot papers.
In the course of the evening there will be several
projections
until the
preliminary official final results
are
supposed to be published late in the evening
.
State elections in BaWü and RLP: preliminary official final results in the late evening
In the last
state election in Baden-Württemberg
, the provisional official final result was announced around 10.30 p.m., in
Rhineland-Palatinate
it was fixed around 10.40 p.m.
It
is difficult to predict
whether the
results of the 2021 state elections will be known
at similar times, as numerous postal votes and corona hygiene measures could slow down the counts.
But one thing is already certain: the
official final results of the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg
will only be announced several days after the state elections.
In
Baden-Württemberg it
took
around three weeks
after the
state elections in 2016
,
and
eleven days
in
Rhineland-Palatinate
.
(Tanja Banner, Nico Scheck)
* fr.de is an offer from IPPEN.MEDIA.
List of rubric lists: © Sebastian Gollnow / dpa (archive image)
