Israel has been divided in recent months over the legal reform – and this was especially evident last week, with the passage of the law to reduce the cause of reasonableness in its second and third readings in the Knesset.
A survey conducted over the past two days by Israel Hayom and the Maagar Mochot Institute directed by Prof. Yitzhak Katz shows that if the elections were held today, the state camp headed by Benny Gantz would be the largest party, with 28 seats, followed by the Likud with 27 seats and Yesh Atid with 21 seats.
The Knesset approved the cancellation of the reasonableness grounds
Despite the Labor Party's efforts over the past week to differentiate itself from Gantz and Lapid, while presenting a more militant front calling for no dialogue with the coalition, the party remains below the red line and does not pass the electoral threshold. In contrast, Meretz, which is not represented in the current Knesset, receives 5 seats. Balad also does not pass the electoral threshold.
In terms of balance of power, the coalition has 53 seats, the opposition has 63 seats, and Hadash-Ta'al has 4.
Israel Hayom survey,
Israel Hayom survey,
The survey also looked at voter changes, meaning how many people would change their last vote. Here are particularly interesting data: 13% of Likud voters and 31% of Yesh Atid voters in the past would now switch to the state camp, and 23% of Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit voters would switch to the Likud.
The survey also examined to what extent, if at all, Israelis are satisfied with the government's performance. As expected, at such a tense weekend, 62% said their opinion of the government's performance was negative. 30% of coalition voters also think the government's performance so far is negative, as do 41% of Likud voters.
The demonstration against the legal reform at Azrieli Junction, photo: Coco
Passing the Reducing the Cause of Reasonableness Law on First Reading, Archive, Photo: Jonathan Zindel/Flash90
Oppose Basic Law: Torah Study
In the survey, we asked whether the legal reform strengthens or weakens the State of Israel, and in the opinion of 52% of respondents it weakens it, compared to 26% who say it strengthens it.
Another interesting finding indicates that a majority of the public opposes reducing the grounds of reasonableness. 61% of respondents said they oppose it, compared to 39% who support it. According to the poll, quite a few Likud voters oppose passing the legislation this week. Although 63% of them support it, 24% oppose it, meaning that every fourth Likudnik opposes the legislation passed this week.
Israel Hayom survey,
Israel Hayom survey,
It should be noted that among voters for all the coalition parties together, there is 70% support for the law.
The survey also examined whether, in the opinion of the respondents, the law should have been enacted in a softer and consensual manner. According to the findings, almost 70% believe that the legislation should have been enacted as it was done, and as for the duration of the legislation in the future, a majority of the public opposes the legislation without consent. Moreover, only 33% of coalition voters believe that judicial reform laws should continue to be enacted without consent.
On Tuesday, a Basic Law: Torah Study came up for discussion, which is supposed to be part of the package of laws that will exempt Torah learners from being drafted into the IDF (which the Likud has made clear will not be promoted). According to the poll, a substantial majority of 72% opposes it, and 44% of coalition voters oppose the bill.
Chairman of the state camp Benny Gantz. Mobile, Photo: Jonathan Zindel/Flash90
The ministers in a joint photo before a cabinet meeting. The public is not satisfied, Photo: Kobi Gideon, GPO
As for what Israelis think about the harsh protest measures, such as not reporting for reserve duty, almost 60% of respondents do not support this step, even if some understand it.
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